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00:00:04
okay let's just let everybody in here a00:00:07
second and then we're going to get00:00:10
started just check that you can all hear00:00:13
me just type a one as usual please thank00:00:17
you and we'll get this going because00:00:20
this has been absolutely crazy when I00:00:23
heard the news of this I've been00:00:26
following it over the last couple of00:00:27
days I thought I've got to share this00:00:29
with you because it is so wild um what00:00:34
has happened so before I tell you about00:00:36
what happened this week I need to just00:00:38
take you back to to give you some00:00:40
context to September the 9th so this was00:00:44
the G20 meeting if you remember this in00:00:46
New Delhi and Joe Biden met with leaders00:00:51
from India South Africa Brazil so we00:00:54
tried to cut out China and uh Russia00:00:58
from this Arrangement where was trying00:01:00
to work out this deal with them and some00:01:03
of the other developing nations and um00:01:06
well you can probably guess how it went00:01:08
exactly how you would expect it to go so00:01:12
it got really wild this week at what00:01:15
they call the secretive um Bank Meeting00:01:18
although it's not really that secretive00:01:21
at all it's the IMF annual meeting so00:01:25
this is what just took place uh this00:01:28
week and some of the things that00:01:30
happened were pretty wild actually it00:01:33
basically just turned into a massive um00:01:35
argument not a brawl but an argument I00:01:37
guess you can say with some of these00:01:39
really big powerful leaders so let's00:01:43
just go over a couple of things and00:01:44
we'll I mean there's so much to go over00:01:46
I'm going to summarize it all for you00:01:48
there about 10 articles just turned into00:01:50
um a very short video here so so you00:01:53
know what's going on so this initiative00:01:56
then that that Biden tried to launch00:01:58
obviously it wasn't his initiative00:02:00
um was to enhance the financial strength00:02:02
of the World Bank and the IMF on a00:02:05
global stage and this was to counter00:02:08
China's growth on an international stage00:02:11
in their influence so that was what it00:02:13
was all00:02:14
about and they this was like a litmus00:02:17
test really is what they're saying for00:02:19
the US Le Global Order which is really00:02:22
struggling at the moment so there's all00:02:24
these concerns about the us as an empire00:02:27
being at the end of the Empire as we've00:02:29
we've talked about a lot and that this00:02:32
new economy is going to emerge so that's00:02:36
what the the context of this was about00:02:39
and Biden tried to get agreements that00:02:42
would expand the World Bank by 20000:02:45
billion dollar and basically the IMF00:02:47
have said are you are you crazy 20000:02:50
billion another $200 billion do no no we00:02:53
need to cut down the spending and they00:02:56
actually reprimanded him um and I don't00:03:00
know exactly how it it occurred but he00:03:02
was reprimanded at this um00:03:06
meeting um you know they started talking00:03:08
about him and saying he needs to cut the00:03:10
spending down and and all of this other00:03:12
thing so it just got wildly out of hand00:03:15
there was a lot of arguments and um00:03:17
thing things like this and and a lot of00:03:20
the critics have said that they are00:03:22
concerned about the level of debt of the00:03:25
US and the IMF that are trying to even00:03:28
uh give more loans out to developing00:03:31
nations especially African nations so00:03:34
there's eight African nations that00:03:35
they're trying to do loans to at the00:03:37
moment and we know what that means so00:03:40
these were the two main things that00:03:42
happened then so firstly the IMF called00:03:46
Joe Biden's borrowing binge absolutely00:03:51
wild and out of control and he was00:03:53
criticized heavily at the meeting they00:03:55
said he's put Global debt on an00:03:58
unsustainable path00:04:00
and they issued him with a Stern warning00:04:03
to stop before it's too late and he00:04:05
causes irreparable damage to the global00:04:09
economy this is actually what was said00:04:12
at this IMF00:04:14
meeting the IMF also said the US and00:04:17
China had driven a surge in debt levels00:04:20
that meant total public debt was on00:04:22
course to approach the size of the00:04:24
entire global economy by the end of the00:04:28
decade 2030 the favorite year of course00:04:32
uh the IMF predicted annual us borrowing00:04:35
would remain close to 7% of their GDP or00:04:38
around $2 trillion do every year in00:04:41
today's prices until the end of the00:04:43
decade now obviously this is a major00:04:45
issue and they they went on to actually00:04:48
say which I was surprised by what I00:04:50
talked about recently and that is that00:04:52
soon the tax revenue coming in is going00:04:55
to take up such a large amount of the00:04:58
debt payment00:05:00
and um it's just going to get out of00:05:01
control and of course we've said where00:05:03
do the debt payments go to yeah that's a00:05:06
that's a good question who is the who00:05:08
are the people paying the debt to in the00:05:10
first place a private bank that's that's00:05:13
where the US president was also00:05:15
criticized openly for claiming this must00:05:18
have been so embarrassing for claiming00:05:21
he'd reduced America's debt levels while00:05:23
on the background behind was the uh debt00:05:27
clock for the USA sat at 33 3 trillion00:05:30
that must have been so00:05:32
embarrassing I I can just imagine that I00:05:36
don't know if he was there at the00:05:37
meeting if he was on the screen uh I00:05:39
don't know exactly how that occurred but00:05:42
apparently the debt Clock was behind it00:05:44
showed the total debt of the USA as he's00:05:46
talking about how proud to bring the00:05:49
debt the national debt00:05:52
down um awkward and someone actually00:05:56
pointed it out even more awkward so this00:05:58
was the second main point then from the00:06:01
meeting the US and China are showing00:06:04
just how much they dislike each other00:06:07
and really are in an economic War so00:06:09
again this was another statement that00:06:10
came out and the reason that's worrying00:06:13
is because if you think about the stages00:06:15
of war and I don't know if this is an00:06:17
official model by the way but it tends00:06:19
to be political you know you have all00:06:21
these political disputes we've seen that00:06:23
for years with us and China it then00:06:25
moves to economical and that's00:06:28
definitely where we are right now we're00:06:30
deep in that and I think the third stage00:06:32
maybe another stage but I think the00:06:35
third stage of that is conventional00:06:37
Warfare uh which we all hope will never00:06:40
happen because that would be absolutely00:06:43
insane but we're deep in this sort of00:06:46
economical um conflict now between the00:06:49
US and China and everybody's worried00:06:52
about it00:06:54
now for the us then they've sort of00:06:57
highlighted their main challenges and00:06:59
also for China so us challenges include00:07:02
persistently high and growing budget00:07:04
deficits with no solution to this they00:07:07
don't want to solve the problem and00:07:10
again if you just keep going going going00:07:12
it's obvious what's going to happen00:07:14
you're either going to go bankrupt or00:07:15
you're going to do the opposite you're00:07:16
going to go into hyperinflation so they00:07:18
obviously need to do something they just00:07:20
haven't done anything US public debt00:07:23
ratio projected to exceed 140% of GDP by00:07:28
203000:07:30
uh the IMF said this is unsustainable00:07:32
and they're just going to the00:07:34
entire global economy if they don't do00:07:36
something the US has said that it's none00:07:38
of their business basically and let us00:07:40
handle our own things but that's the00:07:42
issue it is everyone's business because00:07:44
the US has the reserve currency so what00:07:47
they do affects all the other countries00:07:49
globally and we'll come on to that as00:07:51
well now some of the solutions that were00:07:53
put00:07:55
forward higher taxes yes now specific00:07:59
speically they focused on the wealthy00:08:01
but they have said higher00:08:04
taxes which by the we talked about this00:08:06
yesterday everyone's already seen higher00:08:09
taxes and the reason for that is quite00:08:12
simply when inflation kicks in and you00:08:15
have um much higher prices and your00:08:18
wages haven't kept up that is the tax00:08:21
that is the the inflation is the tax on00:08:24
the people it's not as if they say hm00:08:26
inflation's gone up by 10% so we need to00:08:30
adjust those tax brackets those banss00:08:32
that you're in because it it doesn't00:08:34
really apply that no no they don't say00:08:36
anything they just leave you there to00:08:37
pay more00:08:39
tax now the next thing00:08:42
was okay they're saying as well he keeps00:08:46
focusing on00:08:49
um yeah they they want to end tax breaks00:08:52
for fossil fuel production this is the00:08:54
this is the line here they also want to00:08:56
adjust Social Security so so none of00:08:59
this is is good for the average person00:09:02
in terms of taxes Social Security Etc00:09:05
and another recommendation was to00:09:07
eliminate the debt ceiling entirely so00:09:09
the US can spend What It Wants yeah okay00:09:14
uh China then they moved on to the main00:09:17
challenge is slowing economic growth and00:09:20
by the way that last point was I I00:09:22
believe that was from the US not from00:09:24
the IMF about the debt ceiling so uh00:09:26
China then is there slowing economic00:09:28
growth which is pretty typical when you00:09:31
are a country where you bring people in00:09:34
from the more rural areas into the urban00:09:37
areas and the factories and everything00:09:39
else you're going to see very high00:09:41
levels of growth under under um those00:09:43
sort of um models we always have done00:09:47
but what we're seeing now is this00:09:49
massive emerging middle class in00:09:53
China so what else do they talk00:09:57
about the problem with the real estate00:10:00
and infrastructure investment for China00:10:04
as well talking about the growth levels00:10:06
they are suggesting that these growth00:10:07
levels are pulled back and they need a00:10:10
new model shifting away from00:10:13
exports yeah shifting away from exports00:10:18
obviously because of the way the world's00:10:19
the world's changing00:10:21
now so they they haven't really got many00:10:24
solutions to be honest I'm just reading00:10:25
through them skimming them here there00:10:27
aren't many good Solutions for China00:10:30
they suggested but they are concerned00:10:33
that China is becoming a lender in its00:10:36
own right and they're sort of I guess00:10:38
they're saying what credentials do you00:10:40
have China to become a lender when we00:10:43
the IMF and the World Bank that's our00:10:46
job that's our remit we're the ones that00:10:48
are are you know here to lend money to00:10:51
all these developing nations so I think00:10:53
that's another challenge that we're00:10:55
seeing at the moment and we talked last00:10:57
week about Sri Lanka's deal that they00:10:59
did with China so China's lent them it's00:11:02
all it looks as though it's all gone00:11:04
through now and passed it said they have00:11:07
officially reached the deal for $4.200:11:09
billion of debt so they basically cut00:11:12
the IMF out the deal and the IMF was00:11:14
Furious about this says the details have00:11:17
not been disclosed but Sri Lanka's total00:11:21
debt now stands at 46.9 billion and 52%00:11:25
of that is owed to China so this was00:11:27
just an additional loan on top of the00:11:29
other00:11:31
loan now the IMF went on to talk about00:11:34
the heightened Global risk as well from00:11:37
the bond00:11:38
market again I won't go over all the00:11:40
bond market issues because we've talked00:11:42
about that over the last couple of weeks00:11:44
but there's a lot of problems with the00:11:45
bond market and the yields and how00:11:48
pretty much all the banks are uh they00:11:51
are bankrupt that that that's what's00:11:54
happened these banks are now bankrupt00:11:57
and that's simp simply because the value00:12:00
of the bonds the the the value of all00:12:02
these bonds have reduced so much as the00:12:05
yield has increased so much that now00:12:08
they are basically underwater so it's00:12:10
not an official bankruptcy but if they00:12:12
had to liquidate everything overnight00:12:15
they they wouldn't have the money they00:12:17
would go into debt themselves and I00:12:19
think this is another thing that's being00:12:21
talked about and and some of the the the00:12:24
points later on in the meeting as well00:12:26
was some serious risk levels here00:12:29
and they talked about the 30-year US00:12:31
debt yields hitting a 16-year high of00:12:34
over 5% and they're saying it's too00:12:36
volatile something needs to be done but00:12:39
they don't have the the magic bullet00:12:43
themselves they're also warning of more00:12:45
Bank stresses that means more bank00:12:47
failures by the way they don't want to00:12:49
say that but it means more bank00:12:51
failures and excuse me another really00:12:55
interesting00:12:57
article that just come out00:13:00
was about UK's Metro Bank so they're00:13:04
looking for a buyer for excuse me00:13:09
sorry for the3 billion pound mortgage00:13:13
book uh so this is really this is really00:13:16
serious why would a bank be looking for00:13:18
a buyer for their mortgage book well00:13:22
obviously they're having some sort of00:13:23
liquidity problem so I started looking00:13:25
into this and yes they have been seeking00:13:28
out more00:13:30
liquidity now I think we all know why00:13:32
that is I think it's coming back to00:13:34
these these assets mortgages uh00:13:37
Residential Mortgages commercial00:13:39
mortgages bonds that they thought were00:13:41
very secure and now they're finding that00:13:43
they just aren't that secure so if00:13:45
you're with Metro Bank in the UK00:13:48
definitely have a look at that just keep00:13:50
an eye on your uh account there and up00:13:54
to you if you want to take any action00:13:56
let me just say I don't have any money00:13:57
with Metro Bank right00:13:59
now now they also put out their00:14:02
financial stability report where they00:14:05
talked about adverse feedback loop from00:14:08
well this is really complex but abrupt00:14:11
Financial condition tightening let's00:14:13
move on to that in a second um so the00:14:16
stress test they did on nearly 90000:14:18
Global lenders showed 55 including US00:14:22
Banks would face significant Capital00:14:24
losses under modest Global growth and in00:14:29
inflation scenario so this is linking in00:14:31
here a harsh Global recession and00:14:34
further Central Bank Rises would risk00:14:37
215 institutions accounting for 42% this00:14:42
is the key key thing really here 42% of00:14:45
global banking assets impacting key00:14:48
institutions in China Europe and the US00:14:52
this really plays into the book I think00:14:54
that we reviewed this week the great00:14:56
taking a couple of days ago00:14:59
because and they said a a global00:15:01
recession they haven't even talked about00:15:03
a depression they're saying if we go00:15:05
into a a global00:15:06
recession this would risk 42% of global00:15:12
assets did you see that on the news00:15:15
anywhere that's that's obviously the00:15:18
thing is because that's just so00:15:20
terrifying to most people especially in00:15:24
finance they would never really report00:15:25
on that they'd never tell their clients00:15:27
that they'd never00:15:29
because why would they they're going to00:15:31
their own business there's not00:15:32
really a lot they can do about it they00:15:35
also talk about the leverage in US00:15:39
Government Bond markets they said00:15:41
there's a severe red flag for US debt uh00:15:44
commercial real estate as well they're00:15:46
giving that a severe red flag and00:15:49
they're calling it a slow moving problem00:15:51
likely manifesting in a year or two00:15:54
during the refinancing wave so again00:15:57
they're just really conf confirming what00:15:59
I've been sharing with you over the last00:16:02
however long it's been now so that it is00:16:04
starting to come out a lot of this stuff00:16:07
and then they go on to Rising dollar and00:16:08
what that does around the world um a00:16:11
rising dollar affects other currencies00:16:14
it causes problems with other currencies00:16:16
so they are suggesting um a loosening of00:16:18
the exchange and they go into all this00:16:21
sort of00:16:23
stuff and then they they talked about00:16:25
the economic concerns for the West it so00:16:28
this is in general they are predicting00:16:30
the UK to be the worst performing00:16:33
country both this year and next year00:16:37
2024 and for the US they're predicting00:16:40
growth of00:16:42
1.4% Euro Zone at 1.2% and surprisingly00:16:47
Canada seeing good growth at00:16:51
1.6% now the other thing I found00:16:53
interesting about this was despite all00:16:54
of these problems they're still pushing00:16:57
ESG00:16:59
so what have they said then European00:17:02
banks are required to adjust their00:17:04
client risk assessment for new00:17:06
environmental social and governance00:17:08
requirements as00:17:10
mandated bold underlined by the European00:17:14
Authority the00:17:16
EBA Banks need to review High emitting00:17:19
sectors like oil gas cement steel and00:17:23
mining for their ESG criteria and bring00:17:26
them in line00:17:30
okay so the bank's job is to bring00:17:34
private companies in00:17:36
line okay you can see how this is going00:17:38
to go go down capitalism um yeah that's00:17:42
exactly how it works a bank tells a00:17:44
company how it must how it must run the00:17:48
EU is moving the fastest in setting firm00:17:51
ESG requirements all the way down the00:17:53
supply chain again we talked about this00:17:56
previously European banking Federation00:17:59
expresses concerns over the lack of data00:18:02
so they're actually doing push back on00:18:04
this to justify the new ESG adjustments00:18:07
advocating for solid evidence give us00:18:09
the solid evidence that what you're00:18:11
saying is going to happen in the future00:18:13
is really going to happen the ebaa00:18:15
responded with ESG related losses00:18:19
becoming more correlated it's quite a00:18:21
wordy statement here changing the bank00:18:24
banking sector's risk profile and00:18:26
impacting traditional Financial Risk RK00:18:29
categories yeah I mean it's all Goble00:18:31
Deo but the bottom line with that is how00:18:34
do you prove something or disprove00:18:38
something that you say could happen in00:18:40
10 years time oh well if you don't re in00:18:43
the mining if you don't rain in the00:18:45
energy then we're going to have this00:18:47
problem in 10 years time it's like you00:18:50
you can't really prove that you can do00:18:52
models but then the models are going to00:18:55
be argued and disputed and whoever's00:18:57
funding00:18:58
you know the research is obviously and00:19:00
then that you've got the backers from00:19:02
this entity or that entity it's almost00:19:05
impossible to ever get to the bottom of00:19:07
any of this sort of data it's so00:19:11
skewed the next thing they said is Major00:19:13
banks are already adapting by extending00:19:17
restrictions on fossil fuel lending and00:19:20
rejecting clients this is for banking by00:19:23
the way who are lacking credible00:19:25
emissions reduction plans00:19:28
uh respectively again we talked about00:19:31
this before where everyone thought it00:19:32
was some sort of conspiracy theory that00:19:34
they were the banks were cutting off00:19:37
financing or loans or even just debank00:19:40
any uh anyone that was in these sectors00:19:43
so this is actually talked about in this00:19:45
article uh quite openly now and there's00:19:50
another thing that I wasn't aware of but00:19:51
there's a lot of litigation against00:19:54
Banks right now in the financial in the00:19:56
financial um systems GL globally so00:19:59
there's all these lawsuits and again I00:20:01
think if we started looking into who's00:20:02
bringing these lawsuits that would be00:20:05
quite interesting but there's these huge00:20:07
amounts of lawsuits that are costing00:20:09
Millions absolutely millions of Euros00:20:12
pounds dollars to sue these Banks and00:20:16
Sue these big corporations to make them00:20:18
take these you know new00:20:21
actions but I'm just wondering where00:20:23
these millions are coming from you've00:20:24
got to have a lot of money in order to00:20:26
put a case like that together so that00:20:28
might be something I need to look into I00:20:31
think that would be quite00:20:34
interesting yeah so so in effect then00:20:37
these banks are facing lawsuits for00:20:39
providing funding to anyone who goes00:20:42
against ESG policies so now it makes a00:20:46
lot more sense00:20:48
now we understand why so many of these00:20:52
banks are pushing through all this all00:20:54
this stuff why a lot of companies are00:20:56
starting to push through this stuff00:20:58
stuff it's not just about getting a good00:21:00
ESG score it's because they're being00:21:02
threatened with lawsuits if they don't00:21:05
affect the financing if they don't00:21:07
affect the supply chains you can see how00:21:10
deep this this Rabbit Hole goes I'm00:21:12
really just scratching the surface here00:21:15
um but but it is pretty it is pretty00:21:18
crazy everything that's that's been00:21:21
going on and this whole meeting00:21:24
and you just couldn't imagine years ago00:21:27
that a US president pres would stand up00:21:29
or whether he's on a video conference or00:21:31
whatever and just be absolutely00:21:34
destroyed um talk about reducing debt00:21:37
while the debt has gone up and you just00:21:39
can't imagine this years ago and it just00:21:41
shows the way the the world's moving00:21:44
right now and all the instability and I00:21:47
I just hope we don't go into more of a00:21:50
conventional conflict because what are00:21:53
we seeing is there's a lot of um there's00:21:56
a lot of concerns in in in the region at00:21:58
the moment in the Middle East with00:22:00
especially Iran now we've got the US00:22:03
bring taking a second carrier into the00:22:06
region we've got a there's a lot there's00:22:09
a lot going on there and it could really00:22:11
heat up and pull in a lot more what we00:22:14
don't want to see is another major war00:22:17
because this one could just this one00:22:19
could really kick off and go go Global00:22:22
with the way everything is right now00:22:24
so that's it for today God bless you00:22:27
guys thanks for watching watching and00:22:28
I'll see you00:22:32
tomorrowDescription:
TAKE MY FINANCE COURSES! With 75% OFF Using Coupon Code: 'YOUTUBE' (Exclusively For My Subscribers!) 1. Money Mindset: 'The Psychology Of Wealth Accumulation' - (Don't Leave Your SUCCESS To Chance!) - https://nmwfinance.teachable.com/p/the-psychology-of-wealth-accumulation-course?coupon_code=YOUTUBE&product_id=4842175 2. Master MACRO Economics & Stock Market Investing (Great For Pensions Too!) - https://nmwfinance.teachable.com/p/the-ultimate-macro-stock-market-course?coupon_code=YOUTUBE My UK 'Niche' property courses: 3. Rent To Rent (HMOs): https://nmwfinance.teachable.com/p/rent-to-rent-landlord-negotiations-training 4. Serviced Accommodation (AirBnB): https://nmwfinance.teachable.com/p/serviced-accommodation-letting-agent-negotiations-course 5. Deal Sourcing/Packaging: (Lease Options): https://bit.ly/3RY9bCU 6. Join Our *AMAZING* 'Awake' Tribe Here! - https://www.patreon.com/cw/neilmccoyward 7. Buying Silver & Gold: 🪙 This is where I Buy Silver/Gold Globally - https://www.bullionvault.com/?hmac=6b3007e78628061418f3b1e582164a891767d2dfdf954ba8862fec8778d558f1&token=7b226372656174656444617465223a313736393937393334313132332c22636c69656e744964223a226e65696c77617264756b227d 🇺🇸 This is where I Buy Silver/Gold in the USA - https://sdbullion.com/?sv1=affiliate&sv_campaign_id=2421385&sscid=78598_1769979341_53eab8576ec8c445885cf97358b60e84&awc=78598_1769979341_53eab8576ec8c445885cf97358b60e84&sscid=78598_1769979341_53eab8576ec8c445885cf97358b60e84 🇬🇧 This is where I Buy Silver/Gold in the UK region: https://www.imgold.com/ytreff DISCLAIMER This video is for entertainment purposes ONLY & designed to help your thinking, not direct it. These videos shall NOT be construed as tax, legal or financial advice and may be outdated or inaccurate; all decisions made as a result of viewing are yours alone. Scammers: There are scammers who have cloned my YouTube account (and pretend to be me) talking to you in the comments. I will never provide you with a Telegram/WhatsApp number - this is a scammer, DO NOT reply & simply report them to YT. I accept no responsibility for any losses due to you being scammed. Always look for the tick next to my name! If in doubt, click the profile and it will confirm your suspicions when it takes you to a fake page. Sponsorships: Neil McCoy-Ward may earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus from any product or service listed or discussed. Trading/Liability: Neil McCoy-Ward operates/trades under a private Ltd company within the Isle Of Man. 00:00 - Intro 01:05 - "SECRET" bank meeting 02:32 - US leaders want more DEBT! 05:51 - China V USA 10:25 - IMF isn't the only lender 11:24 - Financial institutions are going to BREAK! 12:48 - Metro Bank WARNING!!! 13:54 - Great taking in action 16:16 - UK WORST in G7 16:45 - EU still forcing ESG 19:05 - Banks falling in line 20:42 - Outro
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