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00:00:00

Nvidia's rise was super quick.

00:00:02

Record highs, record closes for the S&P 500 and the

00:00:06

NASDAQ as Nvidia hits a record of its own.

00:00:09

Another day, another record for Nvidia.

00:00:16

If you look at when ChatGPT was first announced, that

00:00:20

was the fall of 2022.

00:00:22

So it's a really, really fast rise in a very short

00:00:27

amount of time. Apple took 1793 days, or less than five

00:00:32

years, to go from a $1 trillion company to a $3

00:00:35

trillion company.

00:00:36

Nvidia says, hold my beer.

00:00:38

They did the same thing 1 to 3 trillion in less than a

00:00:43

year. When ChatGPT came out, Nvidia was worth less

00:00:49

than $1 trillion.

00:00:50

Then six months, seven months after ChatGPT in May

00:00:55

of 2023, it hit $1 trillion.

00:00:58

And at the time, people were starting to realize

00:01:01

that if AI was a gold rush, Nvidia was the one making

00:01:04

the shovels. The Nvidia craze just never stopped.

00:01:07

It hit $2 trillion in February of this year.

00:01:12

It's been an absolute incredible run, but it has

00:01:15

been absolutely backstopped by the fundamentals.

00:01:18

Six to eight months later, its value has already

00:01:21

doubled and then from $2 trillion, it only took just

00:01:25

over three months for it to hit $3 trillion.

00:01:28

It's really tough to get to 3 trillion.

00:01:31

That said, though, if you were designing the perfect

00:01:33

momentum company from scratch Nvidea would be it.

00:01:37

They're making a lot of money for each one of the

00:01:39

chips they sell. These are very profitable devices.

00:01:43

We see the orders for GB 200.

00:01:45

We see the orders for the B 200.

00:01:47

Nothing is slowing down.

00:01:49

There may not be a chip that's really competing or

00:01:52

challenging its flagship H100 or the forthcoming GB

00:01:57

200, but the competition is coming.

00:02:00

Intel talked about its AI accelerator and said it was

00:02:03

going to be much, much cheaper than Nvidia's.

00:02:06

Now, there may still be performance questions and

00:02:09

that kind of thing, but if it's that much cheaper,

00:02:12

everyone's going to take a look at it because it can

00:02:14

save them a lot of money.

00:02:15

And it's not just Intel.

00:02:16

AMD is coming with a GPU.

00:02:19

All of the biggest customers, which include

00:02:22

Microsoft and Meta and Amazon, they're developing

00:02:26

their own chips too. Everyone is looking to save

00:02:29

money because these Nvidia chips are quite pricey.

00:02:31

Six months ago you'd sometimes hear folks say,

00:02:34

well, I like AMD as a comeback kid, and they're

00:02:37

going to be kind of second on the wave of the AI craft

00:02:40

that Nvidia started.

00:02:41

And I think what we've seen, especially in the last

00:02:43

couple of weeks, when you've looked at looked at

00:02:45

HP's results or Dell's results, um, Nvidia is

00:02:48

really just sucking up the profits and the gross

00:02:51

margins in this space to the tune of something like

00:02:54

75%. And others are happy to come in, come along for

00:02:58

the ride, hoping to sell other services afterwards.

00:03:01

But they are getting the dominant share, so don't

00:03:04

mess with success.

00:03:06

So competition is definitely the biggest challenge for

00:03:09

Nvidia. Not only do you have its customers and its

00:03:12

rivals, you also have hundreds of millions of

00:03:15

dollars, maybe billions going into venture

00:03:17

investment for new companies that are doing

00:03:20

nothing but aiming at Nvidia's crown.

00:03:22

But here's what I think about the competition.

00:03:25

I think Nvidia will stay ahead.

00:03:28

It's a very, very big pie.

00:03:31

Amd is a well regarded company.

00:03:33

They will get a slice, but Nvidia will still stay top

00:03:39

dog. Intel is a company, at least on the manufacturing

00:03:43

side, that has been the gang that hasn't been able

00:03:46

to shoot straight for about 20 years now, Joe.

00:03:50

And so I think that they will make a comeback in PC

00:03:54

oriented CPUs.

00:03:56

But all their claims about AI, maybe they get there,

00:04:00

but I will believe it when I see it.

00:04:03

To keep everything in perspective, Nvidia's sales,

00:04:06

even though they've tripled in the last year, are still

00:04:09

far, far short of Microsoft's annual sales and

00:04:14

Apple's annual sales.

00:04:15

And they have really nice, durable margins, too.

00:04:19

It's hard to see Nvidia replacing Apple or Microsoft

00:04:24

in the technology ecosystem, but could it take

00:04:27

the crown of most valuable US company?

00:04:29

Yeah, I think that's possible.

Description:

Nvidia's rise to becoming a $3 trillion happened in record time. The chip company makes the high-end computer chips that power AI tools like ChatGPT and the cutting edge data centers that more and more companies need access to. But now rivals like AMD and Intel are trying to catch up. Can they take market share from Nvidia, or has the current leader in AI chips gotten too far in the lead? CNBC's Kif Leswing breaks it all down. Reporting by: Kif Leswing Graphics by: Jason Reginato Camera: Lisa Setyon Associate Producer: Micah Washington Supervising Producer: Jeff Morganteen Additional Footage: Getty, Nvidia » Subscribe to CNBC: https://www.youtube.com/user/cnbc?sub_confirmation=1 » Subscribe to CNBC TV: https://www.youtube.com/cnbctelevision?sub_confirmation=1 About CNBC: From 'Wall Street' to 'Main Street' to award winning original documentaries and Reality TV series, CNBC has you covered. Experience special sneak peeks of your favorite shows, exclusive video and more. Want to be a successful, confident communicator? Take CNBC’s new online course Become an Effective Communicator: Master Public Speaking. We’ll teach you how to speak clearly and confidently, calm your nerves, what to say and not say, and body language techniques to make a great first impression. Sign up today and use code EARLYBIRD for an introductory discount of 30% off through July 10, 2024: https://smarter.cnbcmakeit.com/p/become-an-effective-communicator-master-public-speaking?coupon_code=EARLYBIRD Connect with CNBC News Online Get the latest news: https://www.cnbc.com/ Follow CNBC on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/cnbc Follow CNBC News on Instagram: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Follow CNBC News on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Follow CNBC on Threads: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Follow CNBC News on X: https://cnb.cx/FollowCNBC Follow CNBC on WhatsApp: https://www.whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaWBLgG4IBhMvGr2AD2j #CNBC How Nvidia Surpassed Microsoft And Apple To Become World's Most Valuable Company

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