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00:00:00
Welcome to the Herd's official YouTube
00:00:01
channel. Make sure to like and
00:00:03
subscribe. Don't forget to check out the
00:00:04
Colin Coward podcast, all of our NFL
00:00:06
instant reactions, and more football
00:00:08
content. Here we go. It's hour two. Rams
00:00:13
come back and make it close. Stafford
00:00:15
plays well, they win. Stafford
00:00:18
struggles, they lose. 11 and five on the
00:00:21
season. McVey did say he's going to play
00:00:24
uh the starters in week 18. Good to have
00:00:28
you in today. So, the college football
00:00:29
playoff tomorrow,
00:00:32
uh, Miami, I liked them
00:00:35
to get into the playoff over in Notre
00:00:37
Dame. I liked them over Texas&M. I think
00:00:40
they keep it close here. Can they move
00:00:42
the ball
00:00:44
consistently? At least win some field
00:00:46
position battles against Ohio State. I
00:00:48
think Ohio State will struggle to move
00:00:50
the ball. Really good pass rush. Um,
00:00:55
Miami is old school physical, but I
00:00:57
think the Buckeyes have so many
00:00:59
interesting perimeter weapons. Brian
00:01:02
Hartine's recruiting, they'll kind of
00:01:03
outlast them over the course of time.
00:01:05
They'll just make a couple of big plays
00:01:06
down the sideline. So, here we do it.
00:01:08
The herd hierarchy
00:01:11
as we head into week 18. Here we go.
00:01:16
>> Herd hierarchy.
00:01:17
>> TIME IS NOW. LET'S GO.
00:01:18
>> THE TOP 10 NFL teams according to
00:01:21
college. Number 10. Yeah, I'll put
00:01:23
Buffalo once again at 10. They've
00:01:25
trailed in each of their last nine
00:01:27
games. Three of their five losses have
00:01:29
come to Philadelphia, the Texans, and
00:01:31
the Patriots. Um I I don't think they're
00:01:34
going to be able to beat top end teams
00:01:36
consistently. They can't defend the run.
00:01:38
They fall into holes. Uh I don't trust
00:01:41
them situationally in big spots. Uh
00:01:44
they'd won five straight division
00:01:45
titles. And my guess going forward,
00:01:47
Drake May and Mike Vrabel are going to
00:01:48
own the division. I have the Bills at
00:01:50
10. Number nine.
00:01:52
>> Yet, I do think the Texans could play
00:01:54
for the AFC Championship, eightgame
00:01:56
winning streak. Best fourth quarter
00:01:59
differential in the league. They wear
00:02:01
you out physically and can pull away in
00:02:04
the final quarter. Now, they've scored
00:02:06
20 or fewer points this year, but that's
00:02:10
because if Woody Marx doesn't play, I I
00:02:12
don't know if I trust their offense.
00:02:13
I've always liked CJ Strad, but I like
00:02:16
this team. I would not want to face this
00:02:18
team in the playoffs. would not at all.
00:02:22
Texans nine.
00:02:23
>> Number eight,
00:02:24
>> uh, the Bears. They lead the NFL in big
00:02:26
plays on offense, but they've allowed
00:02:28
the third most on defense. So, they
00:02:31
don't turn it over. Caleb does not turn
00:02:33
the ball over. They don't take sacks
00:02:36
nearly as much as last year. I think
00:02:38
Caleb's had a very good season. And I
00:02:40
think Ben Johnson in an argument for
00:02:42
coach of the year the last two games
00:02:46
Caleb Williams has almost 650 yards, a
00:02:49
bunch of touchdowns, no sacks, no
00:02:51
turnovers, and a passer rating at 100.
00:02:54
Uh, I like what I see. The Bears at
00:02:56
eight. >> Number seven, Denver Broncos clinched
00:02:59
their first AFC West title since 2015.
00:03:02
They are 7-1 at home and have been a
00:03:05
great home team since Shawn Peyton
00:03:07
arrived. They're 12 and one. the last
00:03:10
two years at home. Many of them close,
00:03:12
come from behind wins in the fourth
00:03:14
quarter. They are [snorts] four and
00:03:17
teams that play them
00:03:19
are 4 and 11 the following week. That
00:03:22
matters to me. What it says is Denver
00:03:25
beats you up physically. You better
00:03:28
strap the helmet on and be ready to
00:03:30
play. I have Denver at seven.
00:03:33
>> Number six,
00:03:34
>> Philadelphia. Hard team to figure out.
00:03:36
They are number one in the red zone and
00:03:38
they've been the number one scoring
00:03:40
defense since they traded for linebacker
00:03:43
uh Jaylen Phillips from Miami. He's a
00:03:44
good player obviously. Here's an
00:03:46
interesting one with Jaylen Herz. Do you
00:03:48
know he is 7 and0
00:03:51
against Mahomes Allen Burlamar Jackson
00:03:54
over the last three years [laughter]
00:03:56
he just he and Philadelphia may be
00:03:58
uneven. They have a way of beating good
00:04:01
teams home or away.
00:04:03
>> Number five,
00:04:04
>> the Rams don't trust their special
00:04:05
teams. lost three of five. Have not been
00:04:08
a good one-score game. All five losses
00:04:11
this year in one-score games. And their
00:04:14
defense, maybe it's beat up, I don't
00:04:16
know, but their defense is regressing.
00:04:18
You saw it last night, could not stop
00:04:21
Bejan Robinson. They're very dependent
00:04:23
on how Matt Stafford plays. When he when
00:04:27
he throws picks, they don't, which is
00:04:28
discouraging because Seattle wins when
00:04:30
Darnold throws picks. I've watched San
00:04:32
Francisco win when Brock Pury throws
00:04:36
picks or M. Jones plays. If Stafford
00:04:38
struggles, the Rams lose.
00:04:40
>> Number four,
00:04:41
>> the Jags
00:04:43
sevengame winning streak. During that
00:04:45
streak, outscoring people by 17 a game.
00:04:48
And Trevor Lawrence's last five games,
00:04:51
109.7 passer rating. They're for real.
00:04:55
I mean, listen, if you don't watch them,
00:04:57
here's all you need to know.
00:04:59
They've hammered good teams. They go on
00:05:02
the road and win. I know it's a odd
00:05:06
franchise. I got the Jags at four.
00:05:09
>> Number three,
00:05:10
>> I worry about the O line and the run
00:05:13
game a little, but I'm going to put the
00:05:14
Patriots there. Only team in the league
00:05:16
top five offense, top five defense. I
00:05:19
mean, Drake May is going to win the MVP
00:05:21
and should. He just I mean he had a he
00:05:23
had a bad game I think on the road
00:05:25
against Pittsburgh about three months
00:05:27
ago but they got a lock down corner in
00:05:30
Christian Gonzalez.
00:05:32
They don't run the ball consistently but
00:05:34
they run it good enough. I have them at
00:05:36
three. >> Number two
00:05:38
>> ners I know
00:05:40
sixgame winning streak. Do they have a
00:05:43
hole? Yeah. Opposing quarterbacks have a
00:05:45
passer rating of 101. Caleb Williams had
00:05:48
his best game as a pro. So, Robert
00:05:51
Salah's done a great job. They got a
00:05:53
blitz to create pressure. They've got a
00:05:55
massive hole, but offensively
00:05:59
right now they are on fire. And George
00:06:02
KD didn't even play against Chicago. I
00:06:04
got him at two.
00:06:06
>> Number one,
00:06:07
>> Seattle 4 and2 against winning teams.
00:06:10
Darnold's the winningest quarterback in
00:06:12
the NFL the last two years. Seattle may
00:06:16
not be great at anything. They're not
00:06:19
bad at anything. They don't have to have
00:06:22
Darnold play great to win. They don't
00:06:25
have to have a bunch of sacks to win.
00:06:27
They win on the road. They win at home.
00:06:30
Again, in the playoffs, you can't be bad
00:06:34
at stuff because the coaching's so good,
00:06:36
they'll expose it. There they remind me
00:06:38
a little bit of New England. What's New
00:06:40
England bad at? I wish I wish the
00:06:42
Patriots ran the ball more consistently,
00:06:45
but New England's not bad at anything.
00:06:48
The only other team I can say that about
00:06:50
is the Seahawks. I have them at number
00:06:52
one.
00:06:55
Jmack thoughts.
00:06:58
Three teams in the NFC West make your
00:07:01
top five. That is insane. Uh Colin, if I
00:07:04
had said the Jags would be number four
00:07:07
in the herd hierarchy heading into week
00:07:09
18, you probably would have kicked me
00:07:11
off the show. Jacksonville, that is an
00:07:13
unbelievable story. I was just doing
00:07:15
some research here. Did you know they
00:07:16
lead the NFL in drop passes this year?
00:07:20
>> What?
00:07:21
>> Yeah, they um crazy.
00:07:22
>> Jacksonville is one of those teams if if
00:07:26
you know you you can't It just goes to
00:07:28
show I mean Chicago hires a new
00:07:30
offensive coach.
00:07:32
>> Jacksonville hires a new offensive
00:07:34
coach. San Francisco Rams offensive
00:07:36
coach. We do like the Texans.
00:07:39
>> Yeah. >> Because their defense is by far and away
00:07:41
the best in the league. And again,
00:07:43
Vrabel's Drake May is going to work.
00:07:45
Josh McDaniels. Little bit of the secret
00:07:47
sauce here with Brady and McG. It's a
00:07:50
lot of offensive guys engineering it.
00:07:52
Sean Payton in Denver. I mean, say what
00:07:54
you want about Philadelphia, but I mean
00:07:56
that offense, Jaylen Herz doesn't turn
00:07:58
it over, doesn't take a lot of sacks.
00:08:01
>> I'll tell you, if Philadelphia played
00:08:03
the Rams, you mentioned this earlier,
00:08:05
the game plan is going to be real
00:08:06
obvious. You throw to AJ Brown 15 times
00:08:10
because I don't think the Rams match up
00:08:12
at all. I think Philadelphia is a tough
00:08:15
matchup for the Rams.
00:08:16
>> By the way, uh Colin, on your list here,
00:08:18
I'm counting four quarterbacks on their
00:08:21
rookie deal. Drake May, Bo Knicks, CJ
00:08:24
Stout, and Caleb Williams. Interesting.
00:08:26
No Momes, no Burrow, no Lamar. The tide
00:08:30
has turned in the NFL pretty quickly,
00:08:32
huh? Oh my gosh.
00:08:33
>> Today's show is brought to you by our
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Here we go. We are live. It's the Herd
00:09:32
on a Tuesday. The herd hierarchy 1 hour
00:09:35
from now, Patriots head coach Mike
00:09:37
Vrabel stops by.
00:09:40
Welcome in wherever you may be, however
00:09:43
you may be listening. Appreciate you
00:09:45
making us part of your day. So, in the
00:09:48
NFL, I think we all know this. The more
00:09:50
ways you can win, the better. Seattle's
00:09:53
winning when Sam Darnold doesn't play
00:09:54
well. The Niners won when M. Jones was
00:09:57
starting. The Bears can win with their
00:09:59
run game and not Caleb Williams.
00:10:01
Philadelphia won a game this weekend
00:10:03
where they didn't complete a pass in the
00:10:06
second half. Lot of different ways for
00:10:09
the Seahawks and the ners and the Bears,
00:10:12
the Eagles, maybe more than any team can
00:10:15
win. But with the Rams, it's different.
00:10:17
If Matt Stafford plays poorly, they
00:10:20
lose. In the 11 wins this year for the
00:10:22
Rams, he has 30 touchdowns and two
00:10:25
picks. In the Rams five losses, he has
00:10:28
12 touchdowns and six picks.
00:10:31
And people call Sam Darnold reckless,
00:10:33
but when Darnold struggles, he still
00:10:35
gives you elite mobility and playmaking.
00:10:38
Stafford now took over the all-time lead
00:10:40
in pick sixes.
00:10:43
Like, it's just not good if he's
00:10:47
struggling. Yesterday at the end of the
00:10:49
show, I called it the McVey magic.
00:10:51
Sometimes when you watch the Rams, are
00:10:54
they great or is McVey just magical?
00:10:57
Brandon Staley was McVeyy's brilliant
00:11:00
defensive coordinator
00:11:02
until he left the building. Zack Taylor,
00:11:06
10 games under 500 in Cincinnati. He was
00:11:08
the next McVey. I hear that defensive
00:11:12
coordinator Chris Schula is going to be
00:11:15
a head coach, but I just watched Bon
00:11:17
Robinson have his best game as a pro.
00:11:19
Nine yards a carry and they didn't do a
00:11:22
lot to adjust at halftime.
00:11:26
Is he really a great defensive
00:11:28
coordinator?
00:11:30
I I'm mean the bottom line here, if not
00:11:33
for an amazing play in special teams by
00:11:36
Jared Verse, how close is that game? And
00:11:39
here's what's troublesome beyond being
00:11:42
very dependent on Stafford is in the
00:11:45
last three weeks, the Rams defense
00:11:48
second worst in the league and yards
00:11:51
allowed per play. I'm not denying Verse
00:11:55
is great and Stafford's unbelievably
00:11:57
talented and nobody can defend Puka, but
00:12:00
it is interesting when you have McVey
00:12:02
and Kyle Shanahan in the same division.
00:12:04
I talked about this yesterday
00:12:06
because with both McVey and Shanahan,
00:12:09
it's like they're illusionists. Is Brock
00:12:12
Pury really a superstar? [laughter]
00:12:15
Last guy picked in the draft. He plays
00:12:18
like it. Is Jawan Jennings really that
00:12:20
great as like a sixth or a seventh round
00:12:22
player? Well, he plays like it. Is the
00:12:25
Rams offensive line really that good?
00:12:27
Got bullied last night a few times. I
00:12:30
mean, they couldn't block the edges or
00:12:33
is it just again the McVey Magic?
00:12:36
Because what is absolutely clear with
00:12:39
LA, there's absolute deficiencies and
00:12:43
they're getting exposed. the O line.
00:12:47
All it takes is one injury. They
00:12:49
struggle to protect the defense
00:12:53
last three weeks regressing. Stafford
00:12:56
gets reckless. Uh without Devonte Adams,
00:12:59
they absolutely struggle in the red
00:13:01
zone. So, and then losing to Atlanta
00:13:05
really hurts because they have Atlanta's
00:13:07
first round pick. Couple weeks ago, that
00:13:09
thing was like the eighth pick. Well,
00:13:11
now that's dropped down to 12th. So
00:13:14
beating Atlanta for no other reason to
00:13:17
secure a top 10 pick was important and
00:13:21
they were completely worked out schemed
00:13:24
out coached out played out everything in
00:13:26
the first half and in the second they
00:13:29
still didn't do a great job adjusting.
00:13:31
So, in San Francisco, you know, it's
00:13:34
like every quarterback
00:13:37
with Kyle Shanahan looks so much better
00:13:40
than potentially they are until they
00:13:42
leave the building. And with McVeyy's
00:13:45
staff, I'm almost told how brilliant it
00:13:47
is. And I I watch all these guys leave
00:13:50
the building and they're not as
00:13:51
brilliant. So McVey totally dejected,
00:13:55
keeps it really curt and succinct when
00:13:58
he loses. Says these starters will play
00:14:01
next week in week 18.
00:14:04
Oh, we're playing. Yeah, they're playing
00:14:07
>> because of
00:14:08
>> No, they were going to play anyways. We
00:14:09
need to play. We need to play better
00:14:10
football. Um so I I you know, I don't
00:14:13
know what the consequences are and those
00:14:15
different types of things, but um we got
00:14:19
to play better. So, week 18 isn't great.
00:14:22
Saturday, Seahawks, ners, fantastic. And
00:14:26
then we've got the Ravens at Pittsburgh
00:14:30
and the winner goes to the playoffs. And
00:14:32
a lot of the talk in this game is the
00:14:35
future of John Harbaugh, the Ravens head
00:14:38
coach. Feels like every five or six
00:14:39
years he gets heat. And Mike Tomlin, the
00:14:42
coach of the Steelers. I'm reading a
00:14:44
column this morning, whoever loses, the
00:14:47
coach could be in trouble. But I don't
00:14:49
feel the same way. Two years ago, John
00:14:50
Harbaugh was in the AFC Championship.
00:14:53
The Ravens don't feel tonedeaf for out
00:14:56
of touch to offense. The Steelers do.
00:15:01
John Harbaugh's big problem is he can't
00:15:03
beat Mahomes and Andy Reid in the
00:15:04
playoffs. Mike Tomlin's issue is he
00:15:07
can't beat anybody in the playoffs.
00:15:08
Seven straight seasons, bottom 10
00:15:10
offense. In that same period, Harbaugh
00:15:14
in an offensive league is out of top 10
00:15:15
offense four times. So when I look at
00:15:19
the Ravens as a whole in Harbaugh, I
00:15:21
just see a roadblock almost like Phil
00:15:23
Mickelson can't beat Tiger and the big
00:15:25
ones, right? Like or or the Blazers or a
00:15:29
Gary Payeyton or the Knicks just
00:15:31
couldn't get through Jordan. Like let's
00:15:33
be honest, John Harbaugh's biggest issue
00:15:35
is they couldn't beat Mahomes. Lamar
00:15:37
couldn't beat Mahomes. He was struggling
00:15:39
to beat Andy Reid.
00:15:41
But they're making AFC Championships
00:15:43
recently. They've won a Super Bowl more
00:15:45
recently. I don't feel like the
00:15:47
ecosystem with Baltimore is outdated. In
00:15:50
Pittsburgh, I do.
00:15:52
Once again, they can't run the football.
00:15:54
What's that? Seven straight years. I
00:15:56
mean, go ask yourself, when's the last
00:15:58
time a Mike Tomlin team beat an elite
00:16:02
franchise quarterback in the playoffs?
00:16:05
Go ahead and look. I I went this
00:16:07
morning.
00:16:08
Mike Tomlin since 2009 0 and6 against
00:16:12
Payton Manning, Mahomes, Rogers, Brady,
00:16:14
Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen. So, I
00:16:16
don't feel like Tomlin and I'd hire him
00:16:18
in a second if I was the Miami Dolphins
00:16:20
or Tennessee Titans. It's not that he
00:16:22
can't coach. Same with Shawn McDermott.
00:16:24
I'd hire Shawn McDermott in a second in
00:16:25
Tennessee or a second in Miami. But when
00:16:28
I hear that, well, Harbaugh and Tomlin,
00:16:31
I don't feel the same with those two. I
00:16:33
I I I mean, all you have to know is the
00:16:36
Steelers have the second oldest roster
00:16:38
in the NFL and spend the most money on
00:16:41
defense. That's the influence of Tomlin,
00:16:43
who's a still an an elite motivator.
00:16:46
The Ravens, they spend their money
00:16:48
mostly on offense. I mean, they'll pay
00:16:50
for Kyle Hamilton, great safety. They
00:16:52
should. They'll pay for a great guy in
00:16:54
the defensive line. They should, but I
00:16:56
don't feel the same. Here's Harbaugh
00:16:58
when he's asked about he and uh Mike
00:17:00
Tomlin's future.
00:17:02
you really don't have um
00:17:05
the space for that, you know, it's just
00:17:07
not something that you have the the
00:17:08
ability to to to think about. It's not
00:17:10
important. It was important you it had
00:17:13
an impact and a bearing, you know, then
00:17:15
you I think you'd think about it. But
00:17:17
you think about because it's always that
00:17:19
way, you know. So, it's probably all
00:17:21
that stuff makes it all kind of
00:17:22
interesting and kind of fun and and
00:17:24
real. Uh it's it's uh it's sports, you
00:17:27
know, that's how sports are. And I think
00:17:29
that's part of the intrigue of it all.
00:17:31
So, I feel like really honored to be a
00:17:33
part of that.
00:17:34
>> And my wife talks about this all the
00:17:36
time. As you age, she says, "Everybody
00:17:38
gets older, just try to stay current.
00:17:40
The Steelers don't necessarily with all
00:17:42
the money they spend on defense, the age
00:17:44
of the roster, the quarterback mess,
00:17:45
they can't run the ball for seven years
00:17:47
in an offensive league. The Steelers
00:17:48
don't feel current to me. Baltimore
00:17:50
does. I like their ownership, their
00:17:52
front office, their head coach, their
00:17:53
quarterback. They can even win. Huntley,
00:17:55
the backup quarterback's good. They get
00:17:57
efficient play when Lamar doesn't play.
00:18:00
Uh, but I so it doesn't feel the same to
00:18:02
me. I can like a coach, Shawn McDermott,
00:18:06
and think it may be time if they lose in
00:18:09
round one. And I can like a coach. I
00:18:12
think Tomlin would be a great TV guy. He
00:18:14
probably doesn't he show no interest in
00:18:15
that. He doesn't want to do college, but
00:18:18
I I just I feel like we're at the end of
00:18:20
the line here. I do like Baltimore to
00:18:22
win the game because it's a rivalry. It
00:18:25
will be lowcoring and close, but you
00:18:27
know, my feeling it's 2320 2017. I would
00:18:31
lean with what I believe is the more
00:18:33
current organization
00:18:36
uh the more offensively friendly
00:18:38
organization. I would take the Ravens to
00:18:39
win that game. Jac had a good week of uh
00:18:42
a good week of um let's just say with
00:18:44
the numbers this week um you know it
00:18:47
it's interesting. We have Mike Frabel on
00:18:49
today
00:18:51
that Stafford probably played his way
00:18:53
out of the MVP last night. You know,
00:18:55
it's a standalone game, fair or not,
00:18:57
those things always have major
00:18:58
influence. But the biggest game
00:19:00
yesterday, you could argue on Monday,
00:19:02
excuse me, or Sunday was the Bills and
00:19:05
the Eagles and Josh Allen couldn't
00:19:08
score, didn't have a point until six
00:19:10
minutes left. So, to me, that opened the
00:19:12
door for Drake May as MVP. Well, let me
00:19:15
ask. I mean, you watch that game, uh,
00:19:17
Jets getting throttled by the Patriots.
00:19:19
There's a video clip of Mike Vrabel on
00:19:20
the sideline up 353
00:19:23
essentially saying, "Yeah, we're going
00:19:24
to blitz and bad word, blank them." You
00:19:27
know, Vrabel's was really going all in
00:19:29
on the Jets. I almost wonder maybe you
00:19:30
got to a point maybe he was trying to
00:19:32
get Drake made the MVP award. I I don't
00:19:34
know. They were pouring it on, Colin, in
00:19:36
the in the second half. Yeah, I don't
00:19:38
think Vrabel's a guy that worries about
00:19:40
any other coach's feelings uh or any
00:19:42
other organization.
00:19:44
>> It was not forgotten among Jets fans.
00:19:46
Let's just say that
00:19:47
>> like it'll matter uh in a few years when
00:19:50
we're decent.
00:19:51
>> Maybe a few decades.
00:19:54
>> Drake May, Patriots quarterback,
00:19:56
secondyear guy, favorite now odds on
00:20:00
favorite to win the MVP.
00:20:03
Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes also year
00:20:06
two won the MVP. He's that good. I a
00:20:10
real proof of his greatness. He leads
00:20:12
the NFL in completion percentage and
00:20:15
yards per attempt. So he leads the NFL
00:20:17
in completion percentage and he is
00:20:19
chucking it downfield. So also New
00:20:21
England's run game average 20th. Uh
00:20:25
offensive line banged up now left tackle
00:20:28
backup for four games. O line middle of
00:20:30
the pack PFF. So, but I always thought
00:20:32
it was easier with Momes and Lamar
00:20:35
Jackson
00:20:37
to be stylistically fans, right? Like
00:20:39
Lamar, the words you would use, dynamic,
00:20:42
fast, explosive. Yeah, that feels like
00:20:45
an MVP. Or Mahomes, left-handed throws,
00:20:48
biggest arm in the game, add living off
00:20:50
script. With Drake May, it's structural.
00:20:53
He plays within rhythm. He's very
00:20:56
accurate. He's durable. He's tough. He's
00:20:59
an excellent leader. He gets the ball
00:21:01
out quickly. It's hard to embrace that
00:21:04
stuff. It doesn't feel as great. And a
00:21:06
lot of people have said, "Well, they've
00:21:07
got an easy schedule." You play the
00:21:10
games in front of you. Shocker. The Jets
00:21:12
and Miami weren't good. Again, that's
00:21:14
not his fault. Brady led that division
00:21:18
for years. Buffalo, the Jets in Miami,
00:21:21
all three were bad. At least Buffalo's
00:21:23
viable now. So, and in the in the eight
00:21:25
quarters they played the Bills, New
00:21:27
England and May were better in six of
00:21:28
them. So, I just it it's a lot of times
00:21:32
when you're doing like the NBA's always
00:21:35
been about to a large degree style. I
00:21:37
mean, Westbrook is he a winning player,
00:21:42
but he's a Hall of Famer, right? Like,
00:21:45
it's style matters. But it does in the
00:21:47
NFL, too. We like sacks from our guys up
00:21:51
front. We like our quarterbacks. For
00:21:53
years and years when Brady was in New
00:21:55
England, I mean to the end I was reading
00:21:57
articles and you could tell people in
00:21:59
the building, anonymous sources were
00:22:01
saying, "Hey, a lot of guys could win
00:22:03
here. Lot of quarterbacks could win
00:22:06
here." Yeah. Could a lot of those guys
00:22:08
go to Tampa and win a Super Bowl first
00:22:10
year? Could a lot of those guys do that?
00:22:12
No. Brady did. So, and Tom was on this
00:22:15
show and talked about, you know, one of
00:22:17
the elements where where he and he and
00:22:20
Drake may may be similar
00:22:23
with Drake, he has the physical ability,
00:22:26
he has the size, but I think in terms of
00:22:28
physical skill set, his downfield
00:22:31
passing ability is is awesome. So, you
00:22:34
know, Josh McDaniels has done incredible
00:22:36
job this year for the Patriots. Drake is
00:22:39
running the same system that I was in. I
00:22:41
know how good that system is for
00:22:43
quarterbacks. How Josh does teach these
00:22:46
young quarterbacks all the different
00:22:48
reasons why he's doing what he's doing,
00:22:50
why we're trying to beat this coverage
00:22:52
or how we're going to protect to give
00:22:54
you the best chance to be successful.
00:22:56
>> Drake has Foxboro uh from Tom. Uh he's
00:23:00
got 12 games, 100 plus passer rating
00:23:02
this year that ties Tom Brady. And I
00:23:05
also think a lot of times if you're a
00:23:08
really good coordinator, you go to be a
00:23:10
head coach and it doesn't work where we
00:23:13
think less of you. Josh McDaniels has
00:23:15
been the best coordinator. He's the OC
00:23:17
now for the Patriots. There's an
00:23:18
argument he's been the best coordinator
00:23:21
15 of the last 20 years in the NFL.
00:23:24
Maybe maybe 18 of 20. And so, you know,
00:23:28
the Patriots to me feel like
00:23:31
same owner, same OC, same stylistic
00:23:35
quarterback. The difference is Vrabel is
00:23:38
more player friendly than Bellich, but
00:23:40
like Bill, super smart, culture builder,
00:23:44
very demanding, doesn't pander. The
00:23:46
difference is he's more player friendly,
00:23:48
which you have to be in 2025 and beyond.
00:23:50
But it it it um I I I know completion
00:23:54
percentage doesn't turn people on, but
00:23:57
when you can lead the league in that and
00:24:00
yards per attempt down field, that is
00:24:03
special. 35-3 lead on the road just does
00:24:07
not happen a lot. Think how good the
00:24:10
Rams are. They were getting crushed on
00:24:12
the road last night against a team that
00:24:14
won't make the playoffs and a team in a
00:24:16
wonky division. Jack with the news.
00:24:19
>> NO. NO, NO.
00:24:20
>> TURN ON THE NEWS.
00:24:21
>> THIS is the Herdline news.
00:24:24
>> All right, let's bust right into it. The
00:24:26
49ers, Colin, the big story in the NFL
00:24:29
right now is they their quest to be
00:24:31
playing at home in the Super Bowl.
00:24:33
They're just a few games away. All they
00:24:35
got to do take down Seattle Saturday
00:24:38
night. They are a small underdog as you
00:24:41
see there on the screen. Kyle Shanahan
00:24:43
is very excited. said the 49ers have
00:24:46
earned this, adding, "We love an
00:24:47
opportunity to never leave here again
00:24:50
entering the playoffs." Colin, this is a
00:24:52
big one. It sounds like it's going to
00:24:54
make your blazing five. And uh I know
00:24:56
you love going against Brock Party to
00:24:58
the demise of your wallet [laughter]
00:25:00
over the years.
00:25:02
>> Well, I do think Pertie is a different
00:25:04
quarterback when there's a pass rush. Um
00:25:07
and you know, against Chicago, it was
00:25:09
kind of a passive game plan. And I also
00:25:12
think
00:25:14
I think Seattle arguably right now is
00:25:18
the most consistently good team in
00:25:20
football. Half to half. Philadelphia may
00:25:22
have a better roster, but you don't know
00:25:23
what you get offensively half to half.
00:25:25
Seattle's a handful. Now, of course, Sam
00:25:28
Darnold when he faces pressure can get
00:25:31
reckless, but you and I both know the
00:25:33
one thing San Francisco does not do
00:25:35
without blitzing is they don't create a
00:25:37
pass rush. So, I actually think it's not
00:25:40
about Perie and Darnold. I don't think
00:25:42
either will be hyper effective. I I
00:25:44
think it's about Darnold and that run
00:25:47
game without a lot of pressure have been
00:25:51
successful this year. And Brock Pury,
00:25:54
whether trailing, cuz Seattle's a pretty
00:25:56
good first half team. Whether trailing
00:25:58
or facing pressure comes down in
00:26:01
efficiency. So, I think it's a very,
00:26:03
very close game. Would not be shocked if
00:26:05
San Francisco won. But it should be
00:26:07
noted again, McCaffrey had another huge
00:26:09
touch game. I just wonder how many of
00:26:12
these you can stack up after another.
00:26:13
>> Yeah. Um I don't want to give away my
00:26:16
pick yet, but Colin, I'm going to just
00:26:18
give away. So two weeks ago, the Rams
00:26:21
did whatever they wanted. Remember, up
00:26:23
and down the field, 30 points. McVey was
00:26:25
going on fourth down ultra confident,
00:26:27
right? They end up scoring 37 in
00:26:29
overtime. The These are the other teams
00:26:31
Seahawks have played recently. Carolina,
00:26:33
which you know, doesn't really have a
00:26:35
functional offense all the time. Uh,
00:26:37
Philip Rivers, who is 45 years old,
00:26:39
going back to the sofa. Uh, Atlanta and
00:26:42
I believe that was Kirk Cousins in a
00:26:44
disaster. And, uh, JP, whatever,
00:26:47
Brazomer, whatever, Max Brazmer, the kid
00:26:49
in Minnesota. They haven't seen a good
00:26:51
offense. The 49ers are going to score
00:26:53
against these guys at will. I just don't
00:26:56
I'm really worried, Colin,
00:26:59
about [snorts] that 49ers pass rushing.
00:27:00
your boy Sammy D.
00:27:02
>> Slinging Sammy D.
00:27:03
>> Can we get him to see some ghosts in the
00:27:05
pocket? Maybe. [laughter] Robert Salah
00:27:07
cook something up. I don't know. I just
00:27:09
Yeah, I don't know.
00:27:10
>> I think it's going to be one of the
00:27:11
really, really entertaining game. I
00:27:13
mean, last week we got San Francisco and
00:27:15
Chicago, which is as good a game as
00:27:17
we've had this year.
00:27:18
>> You're not that. Come on.
00:27:19
>> Well, I think it's going to be pretty
00:27:21
good. I think it's going to be pretty
00:27:22
good.
00:27:23
>> All right, let's move on to the
00:27:24
Philadelphia Eagles, Colin. And uh
00:27:27
mysterious team right now. I don't know
00:27:28
what to make of them, by the way. Looks
00:27:30
like they will host the Rams in the
00:27:32
first round. Holy hell, that's a game.
00:27:34
Uh, anyways, Nick Serriani, you know,
00:27:37
he's getting a lot of questions about
00:27:38
that second half where they had 17
00:27:40
yards. They've won two games, Colin,
00:27:42
where Jaylen Herz did not throw a
00:27:44
complete a pass in the second half. Zero
00:27:46
completions and they won them. That's
00:27:48
staggering. Anyway, here's Nick Serriani
00:27:50
talking about the offensive game plans
00:27:52
after halftime.
00:27:54
>> I got to help. I I put it on myself. I
00:27:56
got to help um you know with some things
00:27:58
there with some things that I know we
00:28:00
want to get called. Um you know Kevin
00:28:02
did a good job uh in that first half. Um
00:28:04
but I got to help in that second half a
00:28:06
little bit getting some things that we
00:28:08
want to get called there. Um and then
00:28:11
you know in execution it's it's
00:28:12
everything right and so um obviously I'm
00:28:15
not going to get too much into it. I
00:28:17
have some thoughts you know and we'll go
00:28:18
back and look at it but um a lot of
00:28:20
things that we can do differently and
00:28:22
better there in the second half. Uh, the
00:28:24
Philadelphia Eagles remain the enigma of
00:28:27
the league. They're I listen, it's
00:28:29
crazy. They regularly
00:28:32
don't complete three passes in halves
00:28:36
and win all of those games in a passing
00:28:38
league. I mean, so, and I I'll give Siri
00:28:41
credit. I didn't think he was ready for
00:28:43
the job when he got it, but you know
00:28:45
what he does really really well? He
00:28:47
steps to the microphone. He takes a
00:28:49
bullet. He's always willing to say,
00:28:51
"It's on me." And that's that's like
00:28:53
leadership. It's real easy to point
00:28:54
fingers. We've seen coaches and
00:28:56
quarterbacks, one of them in Pittsburgh,
00:28:58
that love to point fingers when things
00:29:00
don't go right. Sirriani takes it. He's
00:29:02
always like, "Yeah, it's me." So,
00:29:04
Philadelphia does Philadelphia is the
00:29:07
only professional football organization
00:29:11
in America, okay, that does what bad
00:29:15
teams do. They fire coaches who get to
00:29:18
the Super Bowl. They get rid of
00:29:20
quarterbacks that win Super Bowls. They
00:29:23
hire coaches who aren't quite ready for
00:29:25
it. They take players with red flags
00:29:28
that other teams take off their board.
00:29:31
They literally have halves where they're
00:29:34
the worst offense in the league. They
00:29:36
have drama in the locker room with a
00:29:38
quarterback and a receiver. They all
00:29:40
this if I just wrote down on a list what
00:29:43
they do coach conj with fans you'd be
00:29:46
like oh that's got to be like is that is
00:29:48
that the is that the Saints is that the
00:29:51
Jets you're like no it's a Philadelphia
00:29:53
Eagles a dominant professional football
00:29:55
organization so I think there's
00:29:57
something about Philadelphia that you
00:29:59
can't deny
00:30:01
any industry you're in when you are as
00:30:03
passionate and you care as much as
00:30:07
Philadelphia does about the NFL and you
00:30:10
got a smart owner and a smart GM and
00:30:13
you're willing to move off and into
00:30:15
people quickly, it it it trumps a lot of
00:30:18
other little frailties or vagaries you
00:30:20
have in the organization.
00:30:21
>> Yeah, it's it's interesting, Colin. I
00:30:23
know some Eagles fans, you know, where I
00:30:25
spent some years in outside of
00:30:26
Philadelphia, they almost are like,
00:30:28
"Hey, man, this season's so stressful
00:30:30
and exhausting. If we lose in the first
00:30:33
round, it's not the worst thing in the
00:30:34
world cuz maybe Sirani gets fired." And
00:30:36
I'm I got to ask you like it's in play
00:30:39
that they could make a run to the Super
00:30:40
Bowl. The defense is that good of
00:30:42
course. >> But at the same time they could lose to
00:30:44
the Rams in the first round and maybe
00:30:45
that's what they need. Get Sirion out of
00:30:48
here, right? Can you do that? Can you
00:30:50
fire him after he goes super?
00:30:52
>> I I don't I don't think they will
00:30:53
because I think he's grown into the job.
00:30:55
I think he's grown up. I think we have
00:30:58
to be fair. You know, I always tell my
00:31:00
kids this. When you get a job, you
00:31:02
shouldn't be ready for it. Your resume
00:31:04
should be ready for it. you shouldn't be
00:31:06
ready for it. You should bail water for
00:31:07
6 weeks. Sirani, I didn't think year one
00:31:09
was ready for the job, but I got to give
00:31:11
him credit. I think he's more mature
00:31:12
now. He's grown up. He's better. He
00:31:14
takes one for the team. And there is
00:31:16
something about Philadelphia. He almost
00:31:19
feels like a an occasional caller on WIP
00:31:22
radio.
00:31:23
>> Oh gosh. Yeah. That [laughter] that's
00:31:24
what you aspire to. So Colin, earlier
00:31:25
you were like, "Hey, he's really good at
00:31:27
the podium. He says, "My bad, my fault,
00:31:29
I messed up." Colin, if you went to
00:31:32
management every single day after the
00:31:34
show and said, "Yeah, we had a bad one.
00:31:35
I was on me." And then you did it the
00:31:37
next day and the next week because
00:31:39
that's what Siri is doing. Every week
00:31:41
he's taking bullets.
00:31:42
>> But I'm not saying he's as secure as
00:31:44
Shanahan or as secure as Deo Ryan's or
00:31:47
McVey or Hardball. I'm not saying he's
00:31:50
that secure. I'm saying I don't think
00:31:52
he's in trouble.
00:31:54
>> Should he be? Maybe that's a better
00:31:56
question. Should he be? If they lose in
00:31:58
the first round, I'm done with them. Get
00:32:00
out. You got too good of a team. This is
00:32:02
an awesome team. He can't fix the
00:32:04
offensive coordinator.
00:32:05
>> It's a very good roster. I will admit
00:32:07
that. >> Pratt on a little too long. All right,
00:32:09
let's wrap up. Uh Colin Andy Reid, you
00:32:12
know, there is some concern. Well, you
00:32:13
know, Kelsey's retiring. Maybe Andy Reid
00:32:17
just steps down. Not so fast. Andy Reid
00:32:20
sounds like he has no doubt going to
00:32:23
decide he's going to continue as head
00:32:25
coach of the Chiefs. Here is Reed
00:32:27
talking about that situation.
00:32:29
No, I'm I'm Listen, I'm I think I'm
00:32:32
coming back,
00:32:34
right? [laughter] If they'll have me
00:32:36
back, I'll come back. You never know in
00:32:38
this business, Matt. So, that's a you
00:32:41
know, that's a that's a tough one, but I
00:32:43
I plan on it. Yeah.
00:32:45
>> Well, the good news for them is that
00:32:47
they got a better draft position. They
00:32:49
don't have to draft it. I mean,
00:32:50
honestly, it's a ve I think it's a very
00:32:52
good first round. It's not going to be
00:32:53
as good at quarterback. Very good at
00:32:55
tackle. They could use a tackle. So,
00:32:57
I've I've been I'm working on my first
00:32:59
mock draft here.
00:33:00
>> You are.
00:33:01
>> Jere what if Jeremiah Love is available?
00:33:03
>> The Notre Dame running back. They have
00:33:06
>> Would you take him over a tackle?
00:33:07
>> Yes.
00:33:08
>> Oo, that's
00:33:09
>> Well, well, well, let let me say that
00:33:11
again. I would not take Love over the
00:33:13
two best tackles in this first round.
00:33:15
One from Utah, one from Miami. I would
00:33:17
probably take him over the third best
00:33:20
tackle also from Utah.
00:33:22
>> Well, the kid at Alabama, Kaden Proctor,
00:33:24
all American pretty good, too. Yeah,
00:33:25
they like him. I I mean again, you saw
00:33:28
Mahomes when he don't have his tackles.
00:33:30
You know, the guy the wide receivers
00:33:31
don't have time to run the routes.
00:33:33
Nothing works without the
00:33:34
>> most great left tackles in the history
00:33:36
of football. 28 of 35
00:33:39
>> first round.
00:33:41
>> There's a lot of great running backs in
00:33:42
the third round and beyond. So you
00:33:44
there's an argument, get a running back
00:33:45
later. I mean, look at this kid. The
00:33:47
Chicago Bears have had a Ruters
00:33:49
>> seven. I mean, the kid is such a
00:33:51
grinder. He's such a good player. Yeah,
00:33:53
he helped carry me to the fantasy
00:33:55
football championship over your boy Jeff
00:33:57
Schwarz. Yeah, baby. It was a good
00:33:59
weekend. It was good. Jmack with the
00:34:01
news.
00:34:02
>> Well, that's the news
00:34:03
>> and thanks for stopping by.
00:34:05
>> The Herd lie news.
00:34:06
>> You know, college football playoff
00:34:08
starts tomorrow. I think Ohio State
00:34:10
Miami is a really good game. I like Ohio
00:34:12
State, but I think it's really close.
00:34:14
Um, I was thinking about this with the
00:34:16
Buffalo Bills. This is crazy. Since week
00:34:20
10, this is with Josh Allen,
00:34:23
Pro Bowl left tackle, James Cook,
00:34:25
excellent tight ends.
00:34:27
Since week 10, the Buffalo Bills are
00:34:31
23rd in the NFL in first half scoring.
00:34:35
That is below Shadur Sanders and the
00:34:37
Cleveland Browns.
00:34:39
That [laughter] basically
00:34:41
the Bills offense is Josh Allen, save us
00:34:45
in the second half. So, their first half
00:34:48
point differential is 23rd.
00:34:51
And if you want to know who's really
00:34:53
good scoring in the first half, McVey,
00:34:55
Kyle Shanahan, Ben Johnson in Chicago,
00:34:58
Vrabel, Josh McDaniels in New England.
00:35:00
Um, and what's crazy is if you look at
00:35:02
the construct of the Bills, you would
00:35:05
think with a great left tackle, great
00:35:07
run game, good tight end, best
00:35:09
quarterback in the league, that they
00:35:10
would score a lot of points early and
00:35:12
then they would lean on James Cook in
00:35:14
their run game to eat the clock in the
00:35:16
second half and win going away. In fact,
00:35:19
it's actually remarkable
00:35:21
that they are the number one run team in
00:35:23
the league when they trail in seven of
00:35:25
their last eight games in the second
00:35:27
half. So that that's but when I look at
00:35:30
Buffalo, I have had them at like 10th.
00:35:34
Uh Nick Wright finally loves Buffalo and
00:35:36
my take is how do you win a Super Bowl?
00:35:40
I mean it's one thing the Eagles you
00:35:42
don't know what you get half to half but
00:35:44
they have great first halves and great
00:35:46
second halves. How do you win a Super
00:35:47
Bowl when you trail in the second half
00:35:49
out of seven out of eight games? So, I
00:35:52
like I've said before that something
00:35:55
isn't clicking when you have a great
00:35:58
running back, a great left tackle, an
00:35:59
amazing quarterback, excellent tight
00:36:01
ends, and you are constantly coming from
00:36:04
behind. Greg Coell has talked about
00:36:06
Buffalo and what he sees on film.
00:36:09
>> So, they're really not that good a
00:36:10
football team. And I know that there's
00:36:12
been a lot of talk about, well, this is
00:36:13
Josh Allener and if he doesn't make it,
00:36:16
you know, that is so silly. They're just
00:36:17
not that good overall from a talent
00:36:20
perspective. and they've got no
00:36:22
receiving core. So, it's they're a hard
00:36:24
team. They have to scheme up everything
00:36:26
on offense and then hope that Josh Allen
00:36:29
in a given game makes Josh Allen plays.
00:36:32
>> So, listen, I understand too Kansas
00:36:35
City's feeling this. When you have to
00:36:36
draft at the bottom of the first round,
00:36:39
it's hard. Most GMs I've talked to would
00:36:42
trade out of the first round if you're
00:36:45
drafting 20th and lower. You'd rather
00:36:49
pay second round prices. is their second
00:36:51
round talent. There's about 15 to 17,
00:36:54
maybe 18 in a good year. Real true first
00:36:57
round talent. And I think this if if if
00:37:00
I think it's a really good first round.
00:37:01
Good tackles, good edge rushers, couple
00:37:05
big time linebackers, one great
00:37:07
quarterback, but it is remarkable this
00:37:11
team doesn't score in the first half.

Description:

Colin Cowherd gives his Week 17 Herd Hierarchy top 10 NFL teams. Will Sam Darnold and the Seattle Seahawks maintain the No. 1 spot? Are Brock Purdy and the San Francisco 49ers here to stay? Will MVP front runner Drake Maye keep the New England Patriots in the top 3? Plus, the Jacksonville Jaguars are sneaking their way into the top 5. Should Josh Allen’s Buffalo Bills even be on the list? Will Caleb Williams bring the Chicago Bears back? Next, Colin reacts to Matt Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams losing to the Atlanta Falcons. Then Colin discusses Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers, and asks whether they should they find a new coach or keep Mike Tomlin? Next, Colin breaks down Drake Maye and the New England Patriots as well as what makes the Buffalo Bills a bad team at the moment. 0:00 Herd Hierarchy 9:21 Los Angeles Rams 14:30 Pittsburgh Steelers 19:50 New England Patriots 24:10 NFL News 33:58 Buffalo Bills All lines provided by @hardrockbet Subscribe to The Colin Cowherd Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/@ColinCowherdPodcast

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