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00:00:02
the sickness that has afflicted the Republican  Party, notice that I'm not saying just Trump  
00:00:07
supporters. I'm not saying specifically Maga, the  sickness that has afflicted the Republican Party  
00:00:14
in 2025 as we enter 2026 I have for you today  the absolute most disastrous poll I can ever  
00:00:24
recall seeing about the beliefs of a political  group or a political movement. This is a study  
00:00:29
of Republican voters done by the Manhattan  Institute, which is a conservative Right,  
00:00:34
right wing think tank. The study itself claims to  be one of the most exhaustive studies to date, and  
00:00:40
I'm going to show you a list of beliefs held by  the current Republican Party. Now this is like the  
00:00:47
most important detail to understand. This includes  all 2024 Trump voters, regardless of party  
00:00:56
registration. So if you're an independent who  voted Trump in 2024 you're included in this study,  
00:01:02
and number two, all registered Republicans, even  if you did not vote for Donald Trump. So this,  
00:01:07
this is not only Trump voters, which I believe  makes the results even worse in terms of what  
00:01:12
it means about the movement and the party. So  let's get into some of the beliefs. 51% believe  
00:01:19
the 2020 election was hacked, whatever they mean  by hacked. 41% don't believe that it was only al  
00:01:30
Qaeda that carried out the 911 attacks, a deeply  conspiratorial belief. 37% believe the Holocaust  
00:01:42
has been greatly exaggerated. 36% believe that  the moon landing was fake. We never went to the  
00:01:51
moon. It is a multi country conspiracy. Oh, by  the way, I every time this comes up, I always  
00:01:58
kind of go back to even if you can be convinced  about nine out of 10 elements of the moon landing  
00:02:06
into thinking that it didn't really happen, it's  really important to consider that other countries,  
00:02:14
if they were able to expose that the US didn't  really go to the moon, would be Very incentivized  
00:02:21
to do it. And so in other words, the moon landing  that was supposedly staged was staged well enough  
00:02:27
to trick every other country beyond being able  to prove that the US didn't really do it. Crazy,  
00:02:33
okay, 36% of the current Republicans believe that  the moon landing didn't really happen. And 1/3 1/3  
00:02:42
believed that childhood vaccines cause autism,  as a reminder that is a hypothesis which mostly  
00:02:53
traces back to a study involved. Study what am I  calling? It's not even really a purported study  
00:03:01
by a former doctor, Andrew Wakefield, who has  lost his medical license involving it was 11 or  
00:03:07
12 kids brought to him specifically, and that  study was retracted by the Lancet. And yet the  
00:03:14
idea persists. So 1/3 of Republicans in 2025  entering 2026 believe that childhood vaccines  
00:03:21
cause autism. All right? On racism and racist  beliefs, 15% of the Republican Party say they  
00:03:29
are openly racist themselves. Okay, so you've  got that's one group, 15% another 22% believe  
00:03:37
that while they are not themselves openly  racist, they don't think the open racist  
00:03:43
should be canceled or excluded from the Republican  Party. So you've got 37% of the Republican Party,  
00:03:50
more than a third that says either they are racist  or racist shouldn't be excluded. Similar numbers,  
00:03:57
by the way, on anti semitism, okay, on the  tariffs, Trump's blanket tariffs on the world,  
00:04:07
54% Look at this. 54% believe the tariffs are a  great thing and are working to bring manufacturing  
00:04:18
back to the United States. There is no evidence of  that. There is no evidence that can be pointed to  
00:04:26
that suggests that that is the case. So let's  now zoom out and kind of give an overview.  
00:04:32
This is a shocking poll, not just because of the  what people believe, but because of the numbers  
00:04:38
and how prevalent some of these beliefs are in  the modern Republican Party. These are not the  
00:04:43
beliefs of some obscure telegram channel or some  dark web message board of extremists or something  
00:04:51
like that. This is a major conservative think tank  surveying the Republican coalition of today that  
00:04:57
includes registered Republicans and everybody  who voted Trump in. 2024 and what it shows,  
00:05:02
unfortunately, is that conspiracy thinking is  not at the edges of the party. It is baked into  
00:05:07
the core of republicanism. Today, more than  half of current Republicans believe the 2020  
00:05:13
election was hacked, which that alone tells  you that democratic legitimacy is gone. If  
00:05:19
you don't believe elections are real, then voting  is meaningless. Losing is illegitimate. Violence,  
00:05:24
by the way, starts to feel justified. And  that's a historical pattern. It's not hyperbole.  
00:05:29
And then it gets even worse. You know, you look at  the numbers we just saw, large chunks of the party  
00:05:34
don't believe al Qaeda was alone in carrying out  911 they think the moon landing was fake. Vaccines  
00:05:39
cause autism. The Holocaust is exaggerated.  This is like, we're not talking about political  
00:05:45
disagreement. It's not hey, you know, Democrats  on average think the top tax rate should be 42%  
00:05:51
and Republicans on average think it should be 22%  and it's a political disagreement, and we find  
00:05:55
some kind of middle ground that is not what this  is at all. This is a rejection of reality itself.  
00:06:03
In my book The Echo machine, I have a chapter  about we no longer agree about what facts are.  
00:06:10
And the contrast is it used to be that we don't  agree about the facts. We no longer agree about  
00:06:16
what facts are, what sort of statement counts as  a statement of fact versus a statement of opinion,  
00:06:22
and you can't have a policy debate with people who  seem to think that matters of fact are actually  
00:06:28
just a question of your opinion. Notice something  else here. This is not only Trump voters,  
00:06:34
my guess, and I don't know this is just it's a  hypothesis. If you only survey Trump voters. The  
00:06:41
numbers might be even wackier, but this includes  Trump voters and non Trump Republicans as well,  
00:06:46
who are registered Republicans. And so those  beliefs even even exist there. The racism data  
00:06:52
is pretty revealing. You know, 15% say I'm openly  racist. 22% say racism is good enough that it  
00:06:59
shouldn't disqualify you from the party that tells  you why Republicans keep nominating extremists,  
00:07:04
and then they act confused when voters notice  they don't police racism, because a huge chunk  
00:07:11
of the coalition doesn't think it's a problem.  15% say I'm racist. 22% say the racists are okay  
00:07:18
being part of the coalition. Same story with  anti semitism, and then you get the tariffs,  
00:07:23
where more than half of Republicans believe  Trump's tariffs are working. They're bringing  
00:07:27
manufacturing back. There's just no evidence  of any of that. And it connects. There's a  
00:07:33
link here between the conspiracy thinking and  believing that the tariffs are working, which is,  
00:07:38
there's no evidence for the conspiracy stuff,  and there's no evidence for the tariffs working.  
00:07:43
But if you can be convinced that the moon landing  was fake, the 2020 election was hacked, whatever,  
00:07:48
you are going to be very easy to convince that  the tariffs are actually somehow helping you.  
00:07:54
So the through line of this poll, which is very,  very disturbing, is it's not just misinformation  
00:08:00
that is spreading like wildfire in the Republican  Party. It's a I don't even know. It's an epistemic  
00:08:08
collapse, a political movement that is not only  divorced from the facts, it doesn't even really  
00:08:14
have self correcting mechanisms for truth and  for accountability, and it matters in a bunch  
00:08:21
of different ways, in a practical sense for us,  and I should do another Tiktok live soon, where I  
00:08:26
talk to some of the people with these beliefs. It  matters for us, because we have to acknowledge we  
00:08:30
can't compromise with a party that thinks reality  is optional. You know, could you go back to my tax  
00:08:35
rate? Example? You think the tax rate should be  22 I think it should be 42 so we go, all right,  
00:08:40
how about 32 and we figure out some other aspects  of this that would be acceptable. If it's like,  
00:08:45
Listen, you think vaccines cause autism? I look  and I find no evidence vaccines cause autism. How  
00:08:50
do we compromise on that? Some of them, maybe,  I don't know how you compromise with that. It  
00:08:56
just doesn't make any sense. So this is a real  problem, obviously, for the Republican Party,  
00:09:02
but it's a bigger problem for everybody outside  of it who now has to deal with these people. They  
00:09:05
vote, they donate, they have beliefs, they have  money, they have influence. What on earth do we  
00:09:10
do? Because we can't just go around them. There's  too many 10s of millions of them to say they don't  
00:09:15
matter. We will just ignore them. Appreciate  you watching. Stick around for this next video,  
00:09:20
and don't forget to hit subscribe so you actually  see our uploads. You can also catch the full  
00:09:26
podcast on Spotify and Apple podcasts. Transcribed by https://otter.ai

Description:

-- A Manhattan Institute survey reveals widespread conspiracy beliefs, racism tolerance, and factual rejection among Republicans, showing misinformation is central to the modern GOP coalition Become a Member: https://davidpakman.com/membership/ [https://manhattan.institute/article/the-new-gop-survey-analysis-of-americans-overall-todays-republican-coalition-and-the-minorities-of-maga](https://manhattan.institute/article/the-new-gop-survey-analysis-of-americans-overall-todays-republican-coalition-and-the-minorities-of-maga) Subscribe to our (FREE) Substack newsletter: https://substack.davidpakman.com/ Get David's book: https://davidpakman.com/davids-books/ Instagram: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/thedavidpakmanshow Discord: https://discord.com/invite/DZcYXhy Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/davidpakman.bsky.social Threads: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser David's tech: Camera: Panasonic Lumix G85 https://www.amazon.com/PANASONIC-Megapixel-Mirrorless-Stabilization-DMC-G85MK/dp/B01M050N05?dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.4PLeCrMO7_kLrImzYjFg9T6knUdyLf8YxEMBbYaiXxgvk3tFTHgpGCgUs1Q7VVCa5lYW-xJXW7e1fVQJQajVLYGCHVA1AZrPiOt_FFnbHPpKdoLpcAoUDQy3SUcOnAcCqz_JMLfYYDrxmmJAOyBSQr37jxbTCqVd1ab3OOh_X76lfXke90aV-xZ7tTGMCW3O23xx4q1Fu2Q-2i1vKwqLE_R3Hd41_eIS6zPSxuIp_lY.XmASCixYkAZmzKlasEenWe6Q3ueYXZeu-shMwPwLIbU&dib_tag=se&language=en_US Microphone: Shure SM7B: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B0002E4Z8M?ie=UTF8&creative=9325&creativeASIN=B0002E4Z8M Voice Processor: dbx 266xs https://www.amazon.com/dbx-266xs-Professional-Compressor-Processor/dp/B004NDFRVC?s=musical-instruments&language=en_US Stream Controller: Elgato Stream Deck XL https://www.amazon.com/Elgato-Stream-Deck-XL-customizable/dp/B07RL8H55Z?dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.3e7r2_WlFipmynQmyTpMCH0VZPJVGpDDn7OmUARtn97_HDfhK1DXSaW3RWpArD7xtA-ewwQHAyX4NVHSOUZuLivWWvBgbW4-8A45Yq6IQeXDaIjupxN40TXVXU_TzsDoHijBhPcPyf-AxR3JVqpVs0iHEH24MlGcSHMsKAFa_kUlA4ozTDJaHA6UGA89U8d8sArC4_0BQ81FhT4yCDFHwlT_qaQpDS6PzNPIFV9L_GA.djhoqpUKmK8ifHtC_IVV-I9LtlKTgTxul6lyehaK2GQ&dib_tag=se&language=en_US Microphone Cloudlifter: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B004MQSV04?ie=UTF8&creative=9325&creativeASIN=B004MQSV04 Timely news is important! We upload new clips every day! Make sure to subscribe! Original show date: December 26, 2025

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