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    00:00:00
    All right, I want to talk about such an important  question that a couple of you wrote to me and  
    00:00:06
    asked, Does Trump's lack of popularity matter if  he is governing as an authoritarian? And I believe  
    00:00:14
    that this is a phenomenal question we've covered  that Donald Trump's approval rating is tanking.  
    00:00:20
    Trump is down in Nixon era. Approval rating.  Trump's own approval rating has only been worse  
    00:00:27
    in the two weeks of his first term that came after  the January 6 riot. So it's a complete and total  
    00:00:33
    disaster. Some of Trump's allies are bailing.  If you look at the polls, you would say, Well,  
    00:00:38
    the story is going to end because voters will step  in and they're gonna fix everything. They're gonna  
    00:00:44
    take the House and Senate from Republicans next  November, and Trump will be left a blah, blah,  
    00:00:48
    blah. I believe that that is a mistake. Popularity  is only a problem in a functioning democracy,  
    00:00:55
    and the whole point of an authoritarian project  like Trump is to make popularity irrelevant. On  
    00:01:00
    a personal level, Trump cares so much about  being liked and being popular, but the part  
    00:01:07
    that Americans may not want to hear is that  we often will treat a political crisis like  
    00:01:12
    it's going to be solved by the next election. And  sometimes we can solve problems with elections,  
    00:01:17
    and elections are always important. But the danger  isn't Trump or Republicans losing an election.  
    00:01:24
    The danger is Trump changing the system where the  outcome of elections no longer matters. And there  
    00:01:29
    is a long history here to look at. If you look  at authoritarian movements and how they start,  
    00:01:35
    they almost always start the same way, which is  they do win at the beginning. The authoritarians  
    00:01:40
    often win, although not in every case, but in  most cases, they win a real election. Sometimes  
    00:01:46
    they win a real election by a lot. They there's  economic anger, there's cultural resentment,  
    00:01:51
    there's a promise that somebody is going to come  in and restore order, and they find someone to  
    00:01:55
    scapegoat, and they go, I will finally deal with  this. And so often, authoritarians start with a  
    00:02:01
    win, Hitler didn't seize power with 10% approval.  He was the most popular politician in Germany.  
    00:02:07
    Victor Orban was legitimately elected. Putin.  You know, Putin's had some sketchy elections,  
    00:02:13
    but Putin was, by most measures, very popular  in the early 2000s which is now over 20 years  
    00:02:19
    ago. We see this often. Once they get in, the  project changes and the goal shifts from I want  
    00:02:28
    broad support to I'm going to take broad control  over institutions, over systems. The legislature  
    00:02:36
    becomes just a rubber stamp. The courts are either  packed or ignored. The press is intimidated and  
    00:02:41
    CO opted or labeled an enemy. Does that sound  familiar? Universities are seen as ideological  
    00:02:47
    threats. Elections. We have them, but they're  kinda more symbolic. You know, we'll go through  
    00:02:52
    the ritual of the election, but only if it  confirms the regime, not if it restrains it.  
    00:02:58
    And what happens over time is that the system  starts to rely less on votes and more on fear,  
    00:03:04
    propaganda and bureaucracy and the slow erosion  of every check and balance, which used to make a  
    00:03:09
    difference. And the darkest irony of this is that  these leaders tend to become less popular as they  
    00:03:14
    become more powerful. Russia, by and large, has a  huge portion of the population that doesn't like  
    00:03:20
    Putin up, but they're terrified to actually make  that make their voices heard. Hungary is arguably  
    00:03:27
    exhausted with or bond. Germans were terrified of  Hitler long before the end, but by the time that  
    00:03:32
    the mass dissatisfaction becomes impossible to  deny, there's no exit ramp. You can't get off the  
    00:03:37
    train. Elections don't fix it. Laws don't restrain  it. Courts don't do anything, and so people can  
    00:03:42
    no longer vote their way out. So when folks say,  Don't worry, you know, Trump is Trump is losing  
    00:03:49
    support, I always think losing support is not the  most important part of the story. Is Trump losing  
    00:03:57
    power? And the answer is, I don't think so. There  are some Republicans starting to doubt Trump,  
    00:04:03
    and that's important, but the truth is, Trump  doesn't really need a big coalition. He needs  
    00:04:09
    loyalists in the courts. He needs them in federal  law enforcement, in the military chain of command,  
    00:04:14
    in state legislatures, if they're willing to  bend election rules. And he gets that stuff,  
    00:04:19
    the polls kinda don't matter anymore. And this is  exactly how democracies will slide into something  
    00:04:25
    different. You know, you got a leader starts  weakening parts of government that they can't  
    00:04:29
    control, strengthening the parts of government  that they can control. You don't have to ban the  
    00:04:34
    election. Make it irrelevant. It's much easier.  Don't jail every critic. Show that there is a cost  
    00:04:40
    to dissent, and they will self censor. And just  look at our timeline. Trump has purged inspectors  
    00:04:46
    general. He's tried after 2020 tried to strong  arm a secretary of state into finding votes,  
    00:04:52
    ask the DOJ to declare the election corrupt  and leave the rest to me. He's demanded in  
    00:04:57
    the second term, personal loyalty from federal.  Officials. He tried to undo an election he lost,  
    00:05:03
    and that was all arguably the rehearsal. So now  he's here. He's openly preaching about and seeking  
    00:05:09
    revenge. He's doing purges. There's military  crackdowns, and none of it has any subtlety. It's  
    00:05:15
    the authoritarian playbook. It's been around a  long time. Use democracy to gain power, dismantle  
    00:05:21
    democracy so that you don't need it anymore. So  Trump is historically unpopular, but unpopularity  
    00:05:29
    only matters in a system that reflects the public  will, and Trump is trying to destroy the system  
    00:05:35
    that reflects the will of the people. So  I believe that the bigger you could say a  
    00:05:41
    strong authoritarian is a danger, and you would be  right, but a weak authoritarian is arguably even  
    00:05:48
    more of a danger, because the weak authoritarian  no longer tries to win anybody over. They try to  
    00:05:52
    make the will of the people not matter. That's  what we're up against. So Trump's approval  
    00:05:57
    rating is highly relevant to understanding what's  going on. It's important in thinking about voters  
    00:06:02
    turning on Trump. It's important in thinking  about other Republicans saying, I don't know  
    00:06:05
    that this is the horse we want to write into 2026  on all of that matters. But as far as like, oh,  
    00:06:11
    Trump will no longer yell at the media and to show  a total lack of respect for courts if people don't  
    00:06:17
    like him, no, no, no, no, Trump will double down  on those actions, the less that people like him,  
    00:06:24
    and that should terrify every single one of us.  We have a phenomenal bonus show today. We will  
    00:06:29
    talk about health care proposals. We will talk  about this Warner Brothers, Netflix whole thing,  
    00:06:35
    and what role the administration might play in  that. And we will also talk about a new proposal  
    00:06:41
    by the administration to review five years of  social media history before letting someone  
    00:06:46
    visit the country as a tourist. Is this what we  need when tourism is down 15% I would say no,  
    00:06:53
    but we will talk about it on today's bonus show.  Sign up at join pakman.com Also make sure you're  
    00:07:00
    getting my daily newsletter on sub stack. It is  free at sub stack, dot David pakman.com, thanks  
    00:07:08
    for watching. Check out this other video. And  if you like our content, make sure to subscribe.  
    00:07:14
    So YouTube puts our videos in your feed and  subscribe to the podcast on Spotify and Apple.

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    -- Donald Trump strengthens his control over government institutions while losing popularity by making elections and public opinion less relevant Become a Member: https://davidpakman.com/membership/ Subscribe to our (FREE) Substack newsletter: https://substack.davidpakman.com/ Get David's book: https://davidpakman.com/davids-books/ Instagram: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/thedavidpakmanshow Discord: https://discord.com/invite/DZcYXhy Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/davidpakman.bsky.social Threads: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser David's tech: Camera: Panasonic Lumix G85 https://www.amazon.com/PANASONIC-Megapixel-Mirrorless-Stabilization-DMC-G85MK/dp/B01M050N05?dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.4PLeCrMO7_kLrImzYjFg9T6knUdyLf8YxEMBbYaiXxgvk3tFTHgpGCgUs1Q7VVCa5lYW-xJXW7e1fVQJQajVLYGCHVA1AZrPiOt_FFnbHPpKdoLpcAoUDQy3SUcOnAcCqz_JMLfYYDrxmmJAOyBSQr37jxbTCqVd1ab3OOh_X76lfXke90aV-xZ7tTGMCW3O23xx4q1Fu2Q-2i1vKwqLE_R3Hd41_eIS6zPSxuIp_lY.XmASCixYkAZmzKlasEenWe6Q3ueYXZeu-shMwPwLIbU&dib_tag=se&language=en_US Microphone: Shure SM7B: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B0002E4Z8M?ie=UTF8&creative=9325&creativeASIN=B0002E4Z8M Voice Processor: dbx 266xs https://www.amazon.com/dbx-266xs-Professional-Compressor-Processor/dp/B004NDFRVC?s=musical-instruments&language=en_US Stream Controller: Elgato Stream Deck XL https://www.amazon.com/Elgato-Stream-Deck-XL-customizable/dp/B07RL8H55Z?dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.3e7r2_WlFipmynQmyTpMCH0VZPJVGpDDn7OmUARtn97_HDfhK1DXSaW3RWpArD7xtA-ewwQHAyX4NVHSOUZuLivWWvBgbW4-8A45Yq6IQeXDaIjupxN40TXVXU_TzsDoHijBhPcPyf-AxR3JVqpVs0iHEH24MlGcSHMsKAFa_kUlA4ozTDJaHA6UGA89U8d8sArC4_0BQ81FhT4yCDFHwlT_qaQpDS6PzNPIFV9L_GA.djhoqpUKmK8ifHtC_IVV-I9LtlKTgTxul6lyehaK2GQ&dib_tag=se&language=en_US Microphone Cloudlifter: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B004MQSV04?ie=UTF8&creative=9325&creativeASIN=B004MQSV04 Timely news is important! We upload new clips every day! Make sure to subscribe! Original show date: December 11, 2025

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