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00:00:12
[Music]
00:00:15
The West needs to be worried about this.
00:00:17
Um, of of course, look, hypersonic by
00:00:20
definition means greater than MAC 5 and
00:00:22
able to to maneuver. Ballistic missiles
00:00:25
quite often reach those sorts of speeds,
00:00:27
but they tend to be on a a sort of more
00:00:28
preset parabola. So, anything that can
00:00:31
travel at greater than MAC 5 and can
00:00:33
maneuver is is a concern. Of course, it
00:00:35
is. And in the cat and mouse game of of
00:00:38
warfare, uh this is a this is an
00:00:41
advancement. It's one we've seen before.
00:00:43
Uh Russia have have called it before
00:00:45
with their uh handful of super weapons
00:00:48
um as they describe them. So, it's not
00:00:50
the first time we've seen hypersonic
00:00:52
missiles released. Uh it's not the first
00:00:55
time we've seen their capabilities
00:00:58
kind of set out in glossy brochure terms
00:01:00
as if this is the end of warships, but
00:01:03
anything moving greater than Mark Five
00:01:05
that can then maneuver as it heads
00:01:07
towards you of course needs to be taken
00:01:09
seriously and defensive measures that
00:01:11
can defeat that um need to be taken very
00:01:14
seriously as well. noting that of course
00:01:16
once it's in the air that's a problem
00:01:18
but there are many many steps before
00:01:20
that where you can potentially defeat uh
00:01:23
this uh this potential threat is the
00:01:26
kill chain right the first thing they
00:01:28
have to do is establish where their
00:01:30
target is and I I think this is often
00:01:32
overlooked in the in the business of of
00:01:34
targeting ships at sea because people
00:01:36
tend to think of these things in terms
00:01:38
of over land where tracking is easier
00:01:41
but if you're at sea hundreds or
00:01:43
thousands of miles way. Establishing the
00:01:45
location of a target that's moving and
00:01:47
taking measures specifically to avoid
00:01:49
being detected is surprisingly difficult
00:01:52
and it's even harder to do it without
00:01:54
the potential target knowing you're
00:01:56
doing it. And then if you're in a
00:01:57
warfighting situation, well, you can
00:01:59
then counter the counter if you like.
00:02:01
You can strike the weapon system. You
00:02:03
can strike maybe even the satellites
00:02:05
that are doing the tracking. Whatever it
00:02:06
is, finding an accurate position that's
00:02:09
time-sensitive enough to fire a missile
00:02:11
like this at is very, very difficult.
00:02:14
Despite what Hollywood and and internet
00:02:16
enthusiasts will tell you, it's it's
00:02:18
hard to do. So, but let's assume you
00:02:21
then get all of that in place and you
00:02:23
fire this missile. All of that has gone
00:02:24
seamlessly. No one's fired back at you.
00:02:26
You then fire this missile. Now, then
00:02:28
now you do have a problem and you have
00:02:30
lead defense if it's around the aircraft
00:02:32
carrier. But it's also it's a two-way
00:02:34
it's a two-way thing. It might be very
00:02:35
difficult to defend against, but it's
00:02:37
also very difficult to make that
00:02:38
technology work reliably. At some point,
00:02:41
this missile is going to have to take a
00:02:43
course correction. Now, if you're if
00:02:44
you're traveling at hypersonic speeds,
00:02:46
you can't defy physics. You you you
00:02:49
create a plasma cone around the nose of
00:02:51
the missile. It makes communications and
00:02:53
any kind of forward visibility very very
00:02:55
difficult. So, quite often these
00:02:57
missiles will slow to take almost a sort
00:02:59
of bearing check alter course. And at
00:03:02
that point, they're vulnerable. And this
00:03:04
is where Patriot has had some success
00:03:06
against the Kinszal Russian hypersonic
00:03:08
missile over land. You know, again, one
00:03:11
of Putin's super weapons has been
00:03:13
destroyed on occasions by a relatively
00:03:15
old piece of kit in Patriots. So again,
00:03:18
it's not these these missiles. They are
00:03:20
defeatable. It is cat and mouse. It's
00:03:23
not it's not a case of this having
00:03:25
catastrophically reduced all warships to
00:03:28
rubble. That is not the case. It's just
00:03:30
a case of this sort of, you know, um,
00:03:33
chasing chasing the the weapons around
00:03:35
and trying to improve your ability to
00:03:36
defend against them. And if you think of
00:03:38
drones like the lorry launching 50 or 60
00:03:42
or 100 or a Chinese light show over, you
00:03:45
know, that is the wrong that's the wrong
00:03:47
mentality. You're talking hundreds of
00:03:49
miles. So, anything that can reap that
00:03:52
can bridge that going to be quite
00:03:53
expensive, quite big, probably quite
00:03:56
slow. I mean, it starts drones at that
00:03:58
range start looking like really slow and
00:04:00
quite poor missiles. Not necessarily.
00:04:03
And if you can if you can build 10,000
00:04:05
of them and launch them all
00:04:06
simultaneously, okay, that's one thing.
00:04:08
But again, you're going to give
00:04:09
indicators and warnings that this is
00:04:11
happening. This isn't happening in a
00:04:13
bubble. You know, the the the good guys
00:04:15
are looking at the bad guys going, why
00:04:17
is this happening here? So, it's a much
00:04:19
more complex proposition to sort of
00:04:20
swarm drone a ship at sea, particularly
00:04:24
one that's miles out to sea. If you go
00:04:26
to Iran and you're in the and you're in
00:04:28
the Persian Gulf, then that's a
00:04:31
different proposition. And this is
00:04:32
something that navies have been
00:04:33
preparing for for decades, mass attacks
00:04:36
from from from the IRGCN are identical.
00:04:40
Again, this isn't new. It's just a it's
00:04:42
just a a movement in the cat and mouse
00:04:46
uh that we need to that we need to be
00:04:47
wary of. But back to my original point,
00:04:50
swarming um a warship at sea,
00:04:52
particularly a carrier or something in
00:04:54
the middle of a layered defense is much
00:04:56
harder than I think people realize.
00:04:59
Yeah. I mean, the rate of build is is
00:05:00
quite extraordinary, isn't it? On on the
00:05:02
one hand, I'm saying, well, you know,
00:05:03
this is cat and mouse, but the cat is
00:05:05
moving very very fast. They're building
00:05:08
in tonnage terms the equivalent of the
00:05:10
Royal Navy every two years. I mean, it's
00:05:12
it's eye watering. And you just know
00:05:14
they've got really smart people coming
00:05:16
up with new um kits at an incredible
00:05:18
rate. It is impossible to know on open
00:05:21
source who's got what who's got what
00:05:23
special equipment for defeating or or
00:05:27
for deterring or whatever it is. We will
00:05:29
never know that and rightly so. But you
00:05:31
can't help but look at the rate of
00:05:32
Chinese productivity and innovation and
00:05:35
go, you know, and be and be impressed by
00:05:37
it and worried by it.
00:05:42
[Music]
00:05:53
[Music]
00:06:02
Yeah, the the threat of invasion of
00:06:04
course is the one that really focuses
00:06:05
everyone's mind. Um I I'm not so sure. I
00:06:10
look I see harassment every day and
00:06:12
bullying and what we would call
00:06:14
piratical behavior at sea. Really clumsy
00:06:17
and some and some of it's you know I
00:06:19
mean they they cut the bow off their own
00:06:21
coast guard ship the other week with
00:06:22
their with their warship. I mean it it's
00:06:24
sort of it's hard to comprehend as a
00:06:27
fellow mariner what leads to that
00:06:28
mindset but that's the mindset they
00:06:30
have. So when we war game these things
00:06:33
whoever's playing the red team as it's
00:06:34
called the the enemy team needs to think
00:06:37
that way. This is an environment where
00:06:40
harassing a Filipino ship they're happy
00:06:42
to be so aggressive they miss it by
00:06:45
yards and then they hit their own ship
00:06:46
and then they don't stop and they carry
00:06:48
on pursuing. This is a warlike
00:06:50
mentality. So any war game that involves
00:06:52
Taiwan needs to have that in the back of
00:06:54
their mind, but you know, I I I struggle
00:06:57
with the idea of an invasion. I know
00:06:59
they're building kit that makes it look
00:07:01
very like that's the end state. Um, but
00:07:04
I've always had in my mind that this
00:07:06
will be more of a sort of they'll just
00:07:09
they'll just be there one day. They'll
00:07:10
be there in response to a natural
00:07:11
disaster or or something and they'll go
00:07:14
to help. and now they're in and and and
00:07:16
it's this sort of boiling frog uh
00:07:19
mentality that they've taken in much of
00:07:21
their the way they've expanded across
00:07:23
into the South China Sea and out to the
00:07:25
N-S line. It's about normalizing
00:07:28
exceptional. And I just think if you
00:07:30
were China and you've got all this kit
00:07:31
and and the proximity, you know, you're
00:07:33
playing a home game here. I I I don't
00:07:36
see that. I see this as a much slower
00:07:38
burn where one day they're just there
00:07:41
and and they're looking at us going,
00:07:43
"What are you going to do about that?"
00:07:45
and we look to the Americans and go,
00:07:46
"What are you going to do about that?"
00:07:47
You know, and and so that I think is is
00:07:49
probably more likely. But yeah, the
00:07:51
messaging, the equipment build is
00:07:54
unambiguous. That that is that is their
00:07:56
intention to end up there one day.

Description:

China unveils new ‘ship-killing’ hypersonic missile - and the World ‘should be very worried’ 'The West ‘should be very worried’ by China’s new ‘ship-killing’ hypersonic missile as Xi Jinping’s navy is expanding at alarming rate' The Sun brings you breaking news and in-depth analysis on the stories that matter most. From the ongoing war in Ukraine to conflicts in the Middle East and US and UK politics, we post updates as they happen. Expect the latest on major global events, pressing political debates, celebrity updates and exclusive royal family content, along with in-depth investigations and expert commentary. Get comprehensive coverage of Donald Trump's Presidency, Vladimir Putin's actions, and the unfolding drama of the British Royal Family. Subscribe now for daily updates and exclusive content from The Sun. https://www.youtube.com/c/thesun?sub_confirmation=1 Read The Sun: https://www.thesun.co.uk/ Like The Sun on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Follow The Sun on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thesun Subscribe to The Sun on Snapchat: https://www.snapchat.com/discover/The_Sun/1633225139

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